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Alabama vs. Arkansas - 10/10/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas Razorbacks (1-3) at Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1)
Date & Time Saturday October 10, 2015, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location Unknown Location Unknown Address
The Line
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -16 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Arkansas Razorbacks face off on Saturday in Tuscaloosa in SEC college football action.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off of their first SEC win of the season as they beat Georgia to raise their record to 4-1 and their SEC conference record to 1-1. The Alabama offense s averaging 36.2 points and 443.8 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 10 times. Alabama QB Joke Coker has completed 56.8 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and four interceptions and Cooper Bateman has seen action as well. Running back Derrick Henry has rushed for 570 yards and nine touchdowns and ArDarius Stewart leads Bama with 23 receptions and Calvin Ridley has 22 receptions. Defensively Alabama has allowed 16 points and 273.4 yards per game with seven interceptions, four fumble recoveries, and 13 sacks. Reggie Ragland leads the Tide with 42 tackles, Jarran Reed has 28 tackles, and Geno Matias Smith has 23 tackles. Alabama is the highest ranked one loss team in the nation despite losing to a one loss Ole Miss team at home.

The Arkansas Razorbacks got back to winning on Saturday getting their first SEC win of he year beating Tennessee in Knoxville. The Arkansas offense is averaging 25.8 points and 476 yards while turning the ball over five times. Razorbacks QB Brandon Allen has completed 66 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and three interceptions and he has scrambled for 102 yards. Alex Collins has stepped it up in the Arkansas rushing game with 656 yards and six touchdowns and Drew Morgan leads in receiving with 23 catches and three touchdowns and Hunter Henry has 20 catches. Defensively Arkansas is allowing 22.4 points and 359.2 yards per game with three interceptions, three fumble recoveries, and four sacks. Brooks Ellis leads Arkansas with 34 tackles, Dre Greenlaw has 29 tackles, and Jeremiah Ledbetter has 27 tackles. Arkansas broke through last week but it will take a big effort here to follow up on it.

Alabama is 7-15-1 against the spread in their last 23 games, 2-5 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games. Arkansas is 5-2 against the spread following a win, 10-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 12-5 against the spread in their last 17 games. The home team has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.

While I see Arkansas as a better team than their record might indicate they are a run first team and going into the teeth of the Alabama defense is a tall order so I like the Tide here. 

Alabama Crimson Tide -16

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