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Alabama vs. Arkansas State - 9/8/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) at Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0)
Date & Time Saturday September 8, 2018, 3:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -36.5 -- Over/Under: 65.5
TV Channel
ESPN2
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CFB | Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) at Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0)
Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

The Alabama Crimson TIde and the Arkansas State Redwolves face off on Saturday in Tuscaloosa in week 2 college football action. 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will look to pull off a major upset after starting the year on a high note with a 48-21 win over SE Missouri State in their last outing. Justice Hansen threw for 423 yards and 6 touchdowns with an interception on 26 of 36 passing while Logan Bonner added a touchdown pass of his own. Marcel Murray led the Red Wolves with 54 rushing yards on 10 carries, while also leading Arkansas State with 75 receiving yards and a touchdown. Omar Bayless, Kendrick Edwards, Justin McInnis, Jonathan Adams, Jr., Bubba Ogbebor and Javonis Isaac each hauled in a TD grab, while Kirk Merritt led the Red Wolves with 5 catches. Defensively, the Red Wolves combined for 3 sacks while B.J. Edmonds led Arkansas State with 4 tackles in the win.

The Alabama Crimson Tide will look to keep rolling after pummelling Louisville in their season opener by a final score of 51-14 in their last outing. Tua Tagovailoa led the Tide with 227 passing yards on 12 of 16 passing with a pair of touchdowns through the air in addition to a rushing score, while Damien Harris racked up a team-high 55 rushing yards on 7 carries. Josh Jacobs and Najee Harris each had a rushing score as well, while Devonta Smith and Jerry Jeudy each had a team-high 4 receptions with Smith logging a team-high 99 receiving yards while Jeudy caught a pair of touchdown passes. The aforementioned Jacobs also logged a kick return TD for the Tide’s special teams, while Shyheim Carter put the exclamation point on the victory with a 45-yard pick-six in the 4th quarter. The Crimson Tide combined for 3 sacks and 2 interceptions while Saivion Smith led the Tide with 5 tackles. 

Arkansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the SEC. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against the Sun Belt while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 non-conference games. 

I love a good underdog as much as the next person, but I counted the Tide out last week against Louisville, and while they may not have the same drive against Arkansas State, I’m not going against Alabama two weeks in a row. Hansen won’t have 6 touchdowns against Alabama and while big spreads like this leave the door open for a backdoor cover, I shudder to think what Alabama will do to Arkansas State after what they did to Louisville. Lay the points with Alabama here.

Pick:
Alabama -36.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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