Alabama vs. LSU - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Alabama vs. LSU
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 3:30 PM (Bryant-Denny Stadium)
Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5 . Total 65.0 .
An SEC clash pairs the top two ranked team's in the country. The top ranked LSU Tigers (8-0) travel to Tuscaloosa, AL to face the Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0). Both teams are coming off bye weeks. LSU enjoyed a win over Auburn 23-20 last time out. Alabama most recently beat Arkansas 48-7.
In the win over Auburn, LSU quarterback Joe Burrow was 32 of 41 for 321 yds and touchdown. Burrow also threw one interception in the game, while also adding a rushing touchdown. LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire had a dominating game out of the backfield, rushing for 136 yds on 26 carries and a score. LSU out gained Auburn in the game, 508 to 287. The Tigers rushed for a total of 187 yds on 46 attempts.
Crimson Tide was guided by quarterback Mac Jones. Jones was 18 of 22 for 235 yds and three for 3 touchdowns. Najee Harris contributed 86 yds rushing on 13 carries and 2 touchdowns. Jerry Jeudy added 7 receptions for 103 yds and 2 touchdowns in the blowout victory. Alabama did not allow a touchdown until the 4th quarter. The Crimson Tide forced 4 Arkansas turnovers. Alabama accumulated 459 total yds of offense.
Recent Betting Trends:
LSU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
LSU is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs a team with a winning home record.
The over is 4-1 in LSU's last 5 road games.
Alabama is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Alabama is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a winning road record.
The under is 8-1 in Alabama's last 9 games following a bye week.
Alabama has dominated the head to head series recently. The Crimson Tide have won 8 of the last 10 meetings. I think 6.5 points is a big under dog spread for the highest ranked team in the country. The under has been profitable in the last 5 meetings in this series, going 5-0. LSU is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings against Alabama. Burrow has done a great job in leading this Tigers offense all year and while LSU has not been profitable in covering the spread in recent meetings, I believe this is the year. The Tigers have played well on the road, especially against the spread. Final score prediction, Alabama wins but LSU covers, 35-32.