Alabama vs. Southern Miss - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Alabama vs. Southern Miss
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Bryant-Denny Stadium)
Alabama Crimson Tide -39 -- O/U: 60.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet in a week 4 college football tilt from Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles will look to build on their 2-1 start with a massive road win after a 47-42 road win over Troy last time out. Jack Abraham has thrown for 990 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 71.1% passing while Kevin Perkins leads Southern Miss in rushing with 88 rushing yards and De’Michael Harris is right behind with 80 rushing yards. Jordan Mitchell leads the Golden Eagles in receiving with 295 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while Jaylond Adams has a team-high 18 receptions for 257 yards and Quez Watkins has 209 receiving. Yards and 2 touchdowns as well. Defensively, D.Q. Thomas leads Southern Miss with 24 tackles including 14 solo tackles and a pair of sacks while Ky’el Hemby has 23 tackles and Shannon Showers has 21 tackles while Ty Williams and Terry Whittington each have a pair of sacks as well. As a team, Southern Miss is averaging 453 yards of total offense and 33.3 points per game this season.
The Alabama Crimson Tide will look for another home victory to add to their 3-0 start after a 47-23 road beatdown of South Carolina in their last outing. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,007 yards and 12 touchdowns on 76.9% passing while Najee Harris leads the Tide in rushing with 156 rushing yards this season. Jerry Jeudy is Alabama’s top receiver with 24 grabs for 308 yards and 4 touchdowns while DeVonta Smith has 18 receptions for 237 yards and 3 touchdowns and Henry Ruggs III has 202 receiving yards this season. Defensively, Xavier McKinney leads Alabama with 23 tackles including 12 solo tackles while Anfernee Jennings has a pair of sacks this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging 562 yards of total offense and 50.3 points per game this season.
Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 non-conference games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against C-USA. Southern Miss is 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
Alabama is going to win this game, but the dangerous thing about Bama is that they’re always going to name their score and decide how much they win by. The issue I have is that Alabama takes their foot off of the gas sometimes when they’re in a comfortable spot, and that leaves the door wide open for a backdoor cover. Southern Miss can air it out with the best of them and has an ability to put points on the board as we saw in their last game against Troy. Troy and Alabama are obviously in two different weight classes, but I just think that laying these points is asking for a backdoor cover late, so while betting against Bama isn’t always a wise strategy, I will take my chances with Southern Miss and the points in this one.