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Appalachian State vs. Texas State - 11/5/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas State Bobcats (2-5) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-2)
Date & Time Saturday November 5, 2016, 3:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -31.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN3
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CFB | Texas State Bobcats (2-5) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-2)
USA TODAY Sports

The Texas State Bobcats and Appalachian State Mountaineers meet in a college football game Saturday at Kidd Brewer Stadium.

The Texas State Bobcats would love a strong road victory to dig out of a 2-5 hole and snap a three-game losing streak. The Texas State Bobcats have five road wins since the 2014 season. Tyler Jones is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 1,713 yards, 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Jones has just one touchdown pass in his last three games. Elijah King and Thurman Morbley have combined for 626 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Gabe Schrade has 22 receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 87.7 yards per contest, and Stedman Mayberry leads the way with 429 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 40.7 points and 499 yards per game. Bryan London leads the Texas State Bobcats with 73 tackles, Teron Fitzgerald has 1.5 sacks and Javante O'Roy has two interceptions.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers look to build on their five-game winning streak and their lead in the Sun Belt. The Appalachian State Mountaineers have lost just two home games since last season. Taylor Lamb is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 1,447 yards, seven touchdowns and seven interceptions. Lamb has two touchdown passes in his last four games. Shaedon Meadors and Barrett Burns have combined for 653 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jaquil Capel has 12 receptions. The Appalachian State Mountaineers ground game is averaging 210.2 yards per contest, and Jalin Moore leads the way with 900 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing 17.8 points and 338 yards per game. Eric Boggs leads the Appalachian State Mountaineers with 63 tackles, Antonious Sims has six sacks and Clifton Duck has five interceptions.

The Bobcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. The over is 5-2 in Mountaineers last 7 games in November and the over is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.

Texas State has been better than its record indicates, but the Bobcats also have been waxed when the level of play increases. Appalachian State is as good as it gets in the Sun Belt and has the defense to make life difficult for Texas State, a team that struggles offensively as it is. This is a lot of points to lay, but I'm more confident in a  Appalachian State Mountaineers blowout than I am in Texas State hanging around on the road against a quality team.

Give me Appalachian State in a blowout victory. 

Pick:
Appalachian State Mountaineers -31.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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