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Arizona vs. Oregon - 10/27/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Oregon Ducks (5-2) at Arizona Wildcats (3-5)
Date & Time Saturday October 27, 2018, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
The Line
The Line: Arizona Wildcats -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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The 19th ranked Oregon Ducks will travel to Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats this upcoming Saturday night in College Football action.

The 19th ranked Oregon Ducks fell to 5-2 (2-2 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the 25th ranked Washington State Cougars, 34-20, this past Saturday. Oregon came out flat after upset victory of Washington the week before and couldn’t fight all the way back after the Cougars raced out to a 27-0 halftime lead. Oregon was outgained by Washington State by a 400-328 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Ducks was QB Justin Herbert who completed 25 of 44 passes for 270 passing yards and a TD. On the season, Oregon is averaging 39.7 ppg on 460.7 total yards per game (272.9 passing yds/g; 187.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Oregon has been led by QB Justin Herbert who has completed 61.8% of his passes for 18 TD & 5 INT while averaging 269.0 passing yds/g. The top receivers for Herbert and the Ducks have been Dillon Mitchell (6.0 rec/g; 86.9 yds/g; 3 TD), Jaylon Reed (2.3 rec/g; 34.0 yds/g; 5 TD), Jacob Breeland (2.2 rec/g; 34.3 yds/g; 2 TD), and Johnny Johnson III (1.6 rec/g; 26.4 yds/g; 4 TD). Leading the way for the Oregon backfield has been CJ Verdell (15.6 att/g; 83.7 yds/g; 4 TD) and Travis Dye (9.1 att/g; 45.1 yds/g; 2 TD). Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to average 26.1 ppg on 367.3 total yards per game (251.0 passing yds/g; 116.3 rushing yds/g).

The Arizona Wildcats lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 3-5 (2-3 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the UCLA Bruins, 31-30, this past Saturday. Arizona fought back from a 17-7 halftime deficit to pull with a point midway through the 4th quarter, however, didn’t get an opportunity to win the game as the Bruins were able to run out the final 6:28 of regulation for the victory. Arizona outgained UCLA by a 520-460 margin however, did lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin. Leading the way for the Wildcats was RB J.J. Taylor who had 154 rushing yards and a TD on 19 carries. On the season, Arizona is averaging 27.8 ppg on 438.8 total yards per game (242.3 passing yds/g; 196.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arizona has been led by the RB duo of J.J. Taylor (17.1 att/g; 102.1 yds/g; 4 TD) and Gary Brightwell (9.6 att/g; 55.4 yds/g; 2 TD). QB Khalil Tate, who missed last game due to an ankle injury, has completed 53.4% of his passes for 11 TD & 4 INT while averaging 202.1 passing yds/g. Rhett Rodriguez who got the start agianst UCLA, completed 15 of 34 passes for 231 passing yds, 2 TD, & 2 INT agianst the Bruins. The top receivers for the Wildcats have been Shawn Poindexter (3.8 rec/g; 69.0 yds/g; 4 TD), Shun Brown (4.5 rec/g; 48.6 yds/g; 3 TD), and Tony Ellison (2.4 rec/g; 44.1 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Arizona is allowing their opponents to average 29.0 ppg on 440.6 total yards per game (244.8 passing yds/g; 195.9 rushing yds/g).

The Ducks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass and 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games in October. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.

Oregon has to be disappointed with their performance against Washington State however, this is still a very talented football team with one of the best QB’s in the country in Justin Herbert. Arizona has had a disappointing first season under Kevin Sumlin and have really struggled on the defensive end as they rank just 105th in total defense. Arizona needs to have success in their running game to stand a chance, however, it might be hard for the Wildcats to find success agianst the Ducks who rank 23rd in rush defense and as I don’t really think it matters who Arizona has behind center, I think Oregon won’t have a hard time getting a victory in this one as they should be able to put up plenty of points agianst the Wildcats defense. The line has yet to be released due to the uncertain status of Khalil Tate, however, I’m most likely taking Oregon to cover what should be a mid-range to large spread.

Pick:
Please Check Back When The Line Is Released

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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