Ole Miss Rebels (4-2) at Arkansas Razorbacks (1-5)
|Date & Time||Saturday October 13, 2018, 7:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5 -- Over/Under:
The Ole Miss Rebels and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet in week 7 SEC conference college football action from War Memorial Stadium on Saturday evening.
The Ole Miss Rebels will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last five games, including a 70-21 rout of Louisiana-Monroe in their last outing. Jordan Ta’amu has thrown for 1,911 yards, 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions in completing 64.2% of his pass attempts this season while Scottie Phillips has rushed for a team-high 637 yards and 8 touchdowns on the ground this season. A.J. Brown leads the Rebels with 44 catches for 586 yards and 4 touchdowns while D.K. Metcalf has 25 receptions for 520 yards and 5 TDs and DaMarkus Lodge has 25 grabs as well for 386 yards this season. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging the 7th-most total yardage per game this season with 540.8 yards per game to go along with the 5th-most passing yards (347.5) and 42.3 points per game this season.
The Arkansas Razorbacks need a feel good win after falling to 1-5 this season with a 65-31 loss to Alabama in their last outing. Ty Storey has thrown for 861 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 picks on 54.8% passing while Rakeem Boyd has rushed for 294 yards to lead the Hogs in rushing yards while Devwah Whaley has 231 yards and 2 rushing TDs this season. La’Michael Pettway has 15 receptions for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns to lead Arkansas in that department this season. As a team, Arkansas is averaging 358.2 yards of total offense and 25 points per game this season.
Ole Miss is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 conference games while the over is 5-1 in their lat 6 road games. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Ole Miss is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 trips to Arkansas while the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
The Rebels took it to ULM in their last outing, but the fact is that as good as the Rebels are offensively, Ole Miss still struggles with consistency this season. Arkansas may end up with the worst record in the SEC this season, but the Hogs hung around with A&M and managed a backdoor cover against Alabama, and in this line of work, a cover is all you care about. The Rebels have struggled ATS in this matchup and the underdog has thrived, so I’ll take a shot with Arkansas and the points at home in this one.