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Armed Forces Bowl--Air Force vs. California - 12/29/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
California Golden Bears (7-5) at Air Force Falcons (8-5)
Date & Time Tuesday December 29, 2015, 2:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Air Force Falcons +6.5 -- Over/Under: 67
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | California Golden Bears (7-5) at Air Force Falcons (8-5)
USA TODAY Sports

The Air Force Falcons shoot for a win in the Armed Forces Bowl versus the Cal Golden Bears. 

The Cal Golden Bears can thank a strong start for their postseason appearance as they stumbled to the finish line as losers in five of seven. The Golden Bears were the definition of an offense first squad with over 36 points on 524 yards with the #4 passing attack leading the way with 368 yards. The defense allowed 30 points on 455 yards and were in the bottom third nationally in most categories. QB Jared Goff was prolific with 4,257 yards with 37 scores and 13 picks on 64%. Bryce Treggs (41-813) and  Trevor Davis (38-653) were the gems of the Cal receiving corps while Khalfani Muhammad (78-539) and Vic Enwere were quality runners on the rare occasion the Golden Bears decided to run.

The Air Force Falcons were  an unknown quantity entering the season but an 8-5 record and first in the MWC Mountain Division says this was a pretty good team. AFA threw the ball surprisingly well behind Karson Roberts who threw for 1,446 yards with nine touchdowns and ten interceptions on 52%. Jalen Robinette  and Garrett Brown were the only AFA receivers of consequence with a combined  1,106 yards on 47 catches. Jacobi Owens led the Falcons on the ground with 1,013 yards on 187 touches while Roberts ran for 674 yards and four others combined for around 1,400 yards.

The Golden Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game while going  4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 vs. a team with a winning record and  is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall while the  Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Will either team stop the other? Hopefully not…

Pick:
over 67

I have been a sports fan since I was old enough to pick up a ball and have always been drawn to competition. I don't participate in sporting events any longer but I do like to provide my opinion on games and writing gives me that outlet. I won't always be right but I always put 100% in to every article I do whether it's the World Series or an 0-10 college football team. Mitch shares that same passion and allows me to express myself in my own way.

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