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Auburn vs. LSU - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
LSU Tigers (2-1) at Auburn Tigers (1-2)
Date & Time Saturday September 24, 2016, 6:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Auburn Tigers +4 -- Over/Under: 45.5
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | LSU Tigers (2-1) at Auburn Tigers (1-2)
USA TODAY Sports

The Auburn Tigers and the LSU Tigers face off on Saturday in week 4 SEC college football action.

The Auburn Tigers are off to a 1-2 start with both of their losses coming to teams ranked in the top 25. The Auburn offense is averaging 26.7 points and 455.7 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 5 times. Auburn QB Sean White has completed 63.4 percent of his passes with 3 touchdowns and an interception and he has taken the bulk of the snaps. Kerryon Johnson paces the Auburn rushing attack with 278 yards and 4 touchdowns and Tony Stevens has 13 receptions with 2 touchdowns and Marcus Davis has 10 catches. Defensively Auburn is allowing 20.7 points and 401 yards per game with one interception, one fumble recovery, and 5 sacks. Johnathan Ford leads the Auburn defense with 21 tackles, Tre’ Williams has 18 tackles, and Tray Mathews has 16 tackles. Auburn doesn’t get any break from the tough schedule here but creating turnovers is what is going to help this defense the most.

The LSU Tigers are 2-1 this season after holding on for a win against Mississippi State last week. The LSU offense is averaging 23.7 points and 340 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 6 times. Danny Etling has stepped in as the LSU QB and he has completed 56.8 percent of his passes with 2 touchdowns and an interception. LSU’s best offensive player, running back Leonard Fournette, has been banged up but he has rushed for285 yards and 2 touchdowns and has caught 7 passes while Travin Dural has 10 catches and a touchdown and Malachi Dupre has 7 catches. The LSU defense is allowing 16.3 points and 325.7 yards per game with 3 interceptions, 2 fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. Kendell Beckwith is LSU’s leading tackler with 24, Louis Neal has 17 including 2.5 sacks, Devon Godchaux has 17 tackles, and Jamal Adams has 17 tackles. LSU is hoping if they can keep stringing together wins they can put their opening loss to Wisconsin behind them.

Auburn is 6-15 against the spread in their last 21 games, 4-1 against the spread following a loss, and 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 home games. LSU is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 road games, 1-4 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread, and 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 road games against a team with a losing home record. The home team has covered the point spread in six of the last 7 meetings of these two.

I don’t expect a ton of scoring here and the first team to 15 should win so my pick is the under and this one should be an easy winner. 

Pick:
Under 45

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