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Auburn vs. Mississippi State - 9/26/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1) at Auburn Tigers (2-1)
Date & Time Saturday September 26, 2015, 7:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Auburn Tigers -3.5 -- Over/Under: 56
TV Channel
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CFB | Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1) at Auburn Tigers (2-1)

The Auburn Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs face off on Saturday in SEC college football action.

The Auburn Tigers are licking their wounds as they were run over last week against LSU taking their first loss of the season. The Auburn offense is averaging 26.3 points and 329.3 yards per game but they have turned the ball over 8 times. Auburn QB Jeremy Johnson has completed 59.7 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and six interceptions and he has rushed for two touchdowns. Peyton Barber leads the Tigers rushing attack with 274 yards and Ricardo Louis has 14 receptions to lead the Auburn receivers. The Auburn defense is allowing 29.7 points and 442.7 yards per game with six sacks, two interceptions, and a fumble recovery. Johnathan Ford leads Auburn is tackles with 34, Cassanova McKinzy has 28 tackles, Kris Frost has 26 tackles. Auburn had obvious issues in their OT win over Jacksonville State and they were magnified against LSU.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs also lost their first SEC game of the season and they took out their frustrations on FCS Northwestern State pounding them by 49 points. The MSU offense is averaging 38.3 points and 489 yards per game but against LSU they had just 19 points and they all came late as the offense struggled most of the night. Mississippi State QB Dak Prescott has completed 65.3 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and he has rushed for 107 yards and two touchdowns. Ashton Shumpert leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 123 yards and a touchdown and Fred Ross is the leading receiver with 15 catches. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 16.7 points and 335.7 yards per game with 8 sacks and two interceptions. Richie Brown leads MSU in tackles with 26, A.J. Jefferson has 18, and Kivon Koman and Chris Jones have 16 tackles each. The jury is still out on Mississippi State his season but they don’t have the look of an elite team.

Auburn is 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 games, 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games, and 5-2 against the spread at home against a team with a winning record. Mississippi State is 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 SEC games, 9-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games. The home team has covered the point spread in five of the last seven meetings of these two.

Auburn is favored here but I don’t see how the Tigers can be favored against any SEC school right now so I have to go with MSU until the Tigers can show me they can turn things around. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs +3

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