Kansas State Wildcats (9-2) at Baylor Bears (10-1)
|Date & Time||Saturday December 6, 2014, 7:45 PM (EST)|
The Line: Baylor Bears -7.5 -- Over/Under:
The Kansas State Wildcats and Baylor Bears play Saturday night at McLane Stadium.
The Kansas State Wildcats hope to win their 10th game of the season and remain in the playoff hunt. Jake Waters is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 18 touchdowns and five interceptions. Waters has six touchdowns and one pick in his last two games, and Kansas State has 29 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Tyler Lockett and Curry Sexton have combined for more than 2,100 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Zach Trujillo has five receptions in his last three games. Kansas State’s ground game is averaging four yards per carry, as Charles Jones leads the way with 476 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, the Kansas State Wildcats are allowing 20.3 points, 341 yards, and they’ve forced 22 sacks and 19 turnovers. Jonathan Truman leads KSU with 101 tackles and Ryan Mueller has 4.5 sacks.
The Baylor Bears have won four straight and are also still in the playoff conversation. Bryce Petty is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 25 touchdowns and five interceptions. Petty is questionable for this game with a concussion, which means Seth Russell will get the nod if he can’t go. Baylor has 45 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Corey Coleman and KD Cannon have combined for more than 1,700 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while Levi Norwood has 10 of his 22 receptions in his last two games. Baylor’s ground game is averaging 4.7 yards per carry, as Shock Linwood leads the way with 1,135 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, the Baylor Bears are allowing 23.9 points, 364.5 yards, and they’ve forced 32 sacks and 23 turnovers. Bryce Hager leads Baylor with 89 tackles and Shawn Oakman has 17.5 tackles for loss.
The Wildcats are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Bears are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 home games and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Petty is likely going to play, but Kansas State has been disrespected by the oddmakers all season and all it does is win. With us getting a little more than a touchdown, I have no choice but to back Kansas State. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Wildcats won outright.