Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-5) at Baylor Bears (8-1)
|Date & Time||Saturday November 22, 2014, 7:30 PM (EST)|
The Line: Baylor Bears -27 -- Over/Under:
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Baylor Bears play Saturday night at McLane Stadium.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have lost four straight and need one more win to clinch a bowl game. Daxx Garman is completing 54.9 percent of his passes for 12 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Garman has two touchdowns and five picks in his last three games, and Oklahoma State has 24 passing plays of 25 or more yards. David Glidden and Brandon Sheperd have combined for close to 800 receiving yards and three touchdowns, while James Washington has 11 of his 20 receptions in his last three games. Oklahoma State has lost four of its last six games when throwing at least two interceptions. Oklahoma State’s ground game is averaging 3.6 yards per carry, as Desmond Roland leads the way with 533 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are allowing 30 points, 424.4 yards, and they’ve forced 28 sacks and nine turnovers. Jordan Sterns leads OK State with 78 tackles and Emmanuel Ogbah has 15.5 tackles for loss.
The Baylor Bears remain in the Big 12 and college football playoff hunt. Bryce Petty is completing 58 percent of his passes for 21 touchdowns and three interceptions. Petty has six touchdowns and zero picks in his last three games, and Baylor has 39 passing plays of 25 or more yards. Baylor has won 17 of its last 19 games when topping 300 passing yards. Corey Coleman and KD Cannon have combined for more than 1,500 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Antwan Goodley has 11 of his 38 receptions in his last two games. Baylor’s ground game is averaging 4.6 yards per carry, as Shock Linwood leads the way with 864 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns. Devin Chafin has scored four times in his last two games. Defensively, the Baylor Bears are allowing 21 points, 322.2 yards, and they’ve forced 28 sacks and 17 turnovers. Bryce Hager leads Baylor with 73 tackles and Shawn Oakman has 12.5 tackles for loss.
The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November. The Bears are 23-4 ATS in their last 27 home games and 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings, while the favorite is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
You see Baylor's home record against the number? Why would anyone pick against that? I just don't like Oklahoma State's QB situation enough to think it can hang with Baylor's relentless offense. Also, with the Bears still in the playoff convo, they need to blow teams out from here on out to impress the people. Give me the insane chalk.