Cincinnati vs. Tulsa - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tulsa has wins this year over San Jose State and Wyoming.  Tulsa is 0-2 against ranked opponents this year. Zach Smith leads the offense, he has thrown for 1,618 yds and has completed 55% of his passes.  He is 125/225 and has thrown for 10 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. Shamari Brooks is the guy to keep an eye on out of the backfield, he has ran for 464 yds and has 4 scores. Keylon Stokes has totaled 467 yds and 4 touchdowns. Linebacker Cooper Edmiston leads the defense in tackles with 56. Tulsa only has 5 sacks on the season. 

Cincinnati quarterback Desmon Ritter is 94/153 for 1,227 yds and 13 touchdowns.  The Bearcats are guided in the backfield by Michael Warren II. He has rushed for 463 yds and 4 scores.  Tight end Josiah Deguara has contributed 4 receiving touchdowns. The defense is led by safety Darrick Forrest with 51 tackles.  The Bearcats as a whole have 14 sacks and have forced 9 interceptions. 

Betting Trends since 2018:

Tulsa is 4-4 ATS as an away underdog.

Tulsa is 3-0 ATS against ranked opponents.

The under is 9-3 when tulsa is an underdog. 

Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS as a home team.

Cincinnati is 12-7 ATS in all games.

The under is 11-8 in all Cincinnati games.

Cincinnati has been better  against the spread since 2018.  Tulsa ranks 102nd in rush defense in giving up more than 200 yds rushing.  Tulsa has almost a zero rush defense and have only been able to get to opposing quarterbacks 5 times this season.  Cincinnati should be able to do whatever they want at will on offense, by having all the time in the world to pass the ball. I think Cincinnati wins thanks to the offensive line, opening up holes and giving Ritter ample time to make a decision. Final score prediction, Cincinnati wins and covers 42-17.