Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona Wildcats - 10/1/19 NCAA football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona Wildcats
Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 3:30 PM (Arizona vs. Colorado)
Colorado -3.5, Total 64
TV: Pac-12 Networks
The Arizona Wildcats travel to take on the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday in college football action at Folsom Field.
It might be a bit of a surprise to imagine that Arizona and Colorado meet in week 6 action with the winner grabbing hold of the outright lead in the Pac-12 South, but that’s exactly the case. It’s early on, of course, and both teams still have to face nationally-ranked Oregon, Washington, and Utah, but both teams would rather be in the driver’s seat moving forward than mid-pack, so there is clearly plenty on the line for this one.
A lot will ride on whether Arizona's one-man show at quarterback Khalil Tate will play. Tate was absent from the Wildcats’ 20-17 win over UCLA last week due to a hamstring injury suffered against Texas Tech that is not responding well to treatment. True freshman Grant Gunnell got the start and did enough to lead his team to the victory completing 29-of-44 passes for 352 yards and a score. Of course, that was UCLA, a team that gave up more than 500 yards of passing the week before and is by far the worst defense in the Pac-12.
It won’t be as easy for either Tate or Gunnell facing a Colorado defense coming off of a bye week after knocking off its second nationally-ranked opponent in three weeks. First it was Nebraska, then Arizona State -- both by identical 34-31 scores -- and that Arizona State win looks even more impressive after the Sun Devils’ week 5 win over previously unbeaten Cal. But neither defense has been impressive in the early going as both teams rank in the bottom half of the Pac-12 in points allowed per game, and only UCLA is worse than these two teams in yards allowed per game.
So far this season, Colorado is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) while Arizona is just 1-2-1. Colorado has also hit the over in three out of four games this season. Arizona’s games have reached the over total twice and the under total twice.
This pick is not an easy one to figure out, especially with Arizona’s question mark at quarterback. If Tate plays, there is a shot at an upset and the over would most definitely be in play. If Tate doesn’t play, the edge would have to push in the Buff’s direction. However, with the total going over in five of Arizona’s last seven games and four of Colorado’s last five, I’m going to bank on two defenses who haven’t been able to slow down much of anything this year and go with the over 64.