Colorado State vs. Toledo - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toledo Rockets at Colorado State Rams
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 9:15 PM (Canvas Stadium)
The Line: Colorado State Rams +9.5 -- Over/Under:
The Toledo Rockets and Colorado State Rams meet Saturday in college football action at Canvas Stadium.
The Toledo Rockets look for a big road win to get a game above a .500 record. The Toledo Rockets have lost four of their last six road games. Mitchell Guadagni is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 388 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Guadagni has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Danzel McKinley-Lewis and Bryce Mitchell have combined for 268 receiving yards and one touchdown while Drew Rosi has six receptions. The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 185.5 yards per contest, and Bryant Koback leads the way with 135 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 19 points and 376.5 yards per game. Jordan Fisher leads the Toledo Rockets with 15 tackles, Terrance Taylor has one sack and Samuel Womack has one interception.
The Colorado State Rams need a victory here to rebound from a rough 1-2 start to the season. The Colorado State Rams have split their last six home games. Collin Hill is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 840 yards, eight touchdown and two interceptions. Hill has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Dante Wright and Warren Jackson have combined for 475 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Marvin Kinsey Jr. has 10 receptions. The Colorado State Rams ground game is averaging 180 yards per contest, and Kinsey leads the way with 310 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 40 points and 403.3 yards per game. Jamal Hicks leads the Colorado State Rams with 23 tackles, Ellison Hubbard has 3.5 sacks and Anthony Hawkins has three pass deflections.
The Rockets are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. The Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Rams last 7 home games. The over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games overall.
It's still a question if Collin Hill is going to play, but either way, the Toledo Rockets haven't proven that they're worth laying this many points on the road. Toledo isn't the same team from past years and has struggled on the road these last couple of seasons. I'm certainly not high on the Colorado State Rams, especially if Hill doesn't play, but this is more of a fade from Toledo and big chalk on the road. Give me the points if forced to pick, but this is probably a pass overall.