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Duke vs. North Carolina - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
North Carolina Tar Heels (1-7) at Duke Blue Devils (6-3)
Date & Time Saturday November 10, 2018, 12:20 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Duke Blue Devils -10.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
CHSS
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CFB | North Carolina Tar Heels (1-7) at Duke Blue Devils (6-3)
Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Duke Blue Devils will be meeting up at Wallace Wade Stadium for an ACC college football battle on Saturday. 

The Tar Heels come in here at 1-7 on the year. North Carolina’s lone win came against Pittsburgh earlier in the year, and they’ve fallen to Cal, East Carolina, Miami (FL), Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Virginia and Georgia Tech otherwise. 

In the Yellow Jackets game, North Carolina QB Nathan Elliott put up 128 yards and three picks, and Michael Carter led the rush on 68 yards. Anthony Ratliff-Williams put up four grabs for 103 yards to lead the Heels receivers. 

Over on the Duke side, they’re 6-3 this season. The Devils’ losses have come against Virginia Tech, Virginia and Pitt, while they’ve beaten Army, Northwestern, Baylor, NC Central, Georgia Tech and Miami (FL). 

In the ‘Canes game, Duke QB Daniel Jones put up 130 yards and a pick, and Deon Jackson logged 113 yards and a TD on the ground. Johnathan Lloyd managed 40 yards from five grabs to lead the Devils receivers. 

The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 1-3-1 ATS in the last five road games. The over is 4-0 in NC’s last four road games and 5-1-1 in their last seven overall. 

Meanwhile, the Devils are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 following an ATS win and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The under is 4-1 in Duke’s last five overall and 4-1 in their last five on grass. 

You can point to the Tar Heels’ miserable record and draw some immediate conclusions, but the truth is that they’ve been in most of their games—they just haven’t been able to finish and have simply been making too many mistakes. 

As for Duke, they’ve been playing pretty well overall but have hit a few inconsistent rough patches. The line here is thick enough that I’m comfortable taking North Carolina to sneak in and cover.

Pick:
North Carolina Tar Heels +10.5

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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