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Duke vs. Notre Dame - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Duke vs. Notre Dame
Date & Time Saturday November 9, 2019, 7:31 PM (EST)
Location
Wallace Wade Stadium
Durham, NC
The Line
Notre Dame -6.5 . Total 52.0
TV Channel
ACCN
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Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish hit the road for a matchup with the Duke Blue Devils.  Notre Dame enters this contest ranked 15th, with a record of (6-2).  After losing to Michigan, Notre Dame got back on track beating Virginia Tech 21-20.  Duke comes into this home game with a (4-4) record.  Duke has lost 2 in a row and most recently lost on the road to North Carolina, 20-17. 

In the win over Virginia Tech, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book was 29 of 53 for 336 yds, 2 TD's and 2 INT's.  Book also ran for 50 yds on 13 carries and another score.  Notre Dame sealed the victory with a 7 yd TD run by Book with 29 seconds left in the game.  Notre Dame out gained Virginia Tech 442 to 240 en route to the win.  The Fighting Irish were fortunate that their 3 turnovers did not come back to haunt them. 

In the loss to UNC, Duke was led offensively by quarterback Quentin Harris.  Harris threw for 229 yds, while completing 22 of 39 passes for a touchdown and an interception.  Harris also added a rushing touchdown.  Scott Bracey contributed 5 receptions for 62 yds and a touchdown.  Duke committed 4 turnovers in the loss and were out gained offensively 432 to 329.  The game was tied going into the 4th quarter.

Recent Betting Trends:

Notre Dame is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Notre Dame is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

The under is 4-1 in Notre Dame's last 5 road games.

Duke is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Independent schools.

Duke is 10-4 ATS vs a team with a winning record in their last 14.

The over is 6-0 in Duke's last 6 home games.

Notre Dame is 3-0 against teams in the ACC this season, with wins over Louisville, Virginia, and Virginia Tech.  Duke has lost their last 2 games and 3 of 4.  While Notre Dame had a slim margin of victory over Virginia Tech, Notre Dame should be able to at least win by a touchdown on the road at Duke.  The Fighting Irish have been profitable when playing on grass in recent games.  The Notre Dame defense has been solid this season, allowing just over 20 points per game. Duke has been profitable in games against independent schools, however, if Notre Dame once to end up in a big bowl game, this is a must win game for the Fighting Irish.  Final score prediction, Notre Dame will win and cover, 31-24. 

Pick:
ND -6.5
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