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Florida vs. Vanderbilt - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Florida vs. Vanderbilt
Date & Time Saturday November 9, 2019, 12:01 PM (EST)
Location
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Gainesville, FL
The Line
Florida Gators -24.5 . Total 49.0
TV Channel
ESPN
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Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

This SEC matchup pairs the Vanderbilt Commodores and the 10 ranked Florida Gators together.  Vanderbilt enters this matchup with a record of (2-6), having lost to South Carolina 24-7 last time out.  The Gators are (7-2) thus far and last played Georgia and lost 24-17. 

Vanderbilt has not had the season that the player and coaching staff were hoping for.  The Commodores have win over Northern Illinois and Missouri, who at the time was ranked 22nd.  The Commodores led 7-0 after the first quarter against South Carolina.  Those 7 points would be the only points Vanderbilt would score, South Carolina cam back with 24 unanswered points.  Commodores had a 26 yd passing touchdown from Riley Neal to Cam Johnson.  The Commodores were out gained 440 to 189 in the loss.  Vanderbilt had 2 turnovers to the Gamecocks 1.  

The Gators got off to a very slow start and trailed 13-3 at halftime to Georgia.  Florida scored both their touchdowns in the 4th quarter, their comeback was just a little to late.  Gators quarterback Kyle Trask was 21 of 33 for 257 yds and 2 touchdowns.  Freddy Swain added 8 receptions for 91 yds and a touchdown.  Florida who has had a pretty solid defense this season, saw the Bulldogs offense total 398 yds of offense.  The Gators were held to 21 yd rushing on 19 carries.

Recent Betting Trends:

Vandy is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Vandy is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

The under is 5-0 in Vandy's last 5 games.

Florida is 4-0 ATS vs a team with a losing record this season.

Florida is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

The under is 6-0 in Florida's last 6 home games.

Florida has absolutely dominated this series, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings.  The Gators are 4-0 at home this season and 3-0-1 ATS at home.  Vanderbilt has not covered a spread on the road this season (0-2).  The Commodores have had trouble sustaining consistent offensive production this season and that does not bode well, when facing the Gators defense.  Florida is holding opponents to an average of less then 16 points per game.  Both team's are going in opposite directions at this point.    Florida should be able to do what they want at will in this one.  Final score prediction, Florida will win and cover, 42-10.      

Pick:
FLA -24.5
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