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Georgia State vs. Texas State - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas State Bobcats (2-6) at Georgia State Panthers (2-6)
Date & Time Saturday November 3, 2018, 2:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Georgia State Panthers -6.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN+
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CFB | Texas State Bobcats (2-6) at Georgia State Panthers (2-6)
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas State Bobcats will travel to Georgia State Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers this upcoming Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Texas State Bobcats snapped their 5-game losing streak and improved to 2-5 (0-4 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the New Mexico State Aggies, 27-20, this past Saturday. Texas State raced out to a quick 13-0 lead in the 1st quarter and was able to hold off the Aggies late after taking a 27-13 lead with 12:14 left in the 3rd quarter. Texas State was outgained by New Mexico State by a 428-343 margin however, won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Bobcats was QB Willie Jones III who completed 9 of 18 passes for 113 passing yards & 2 TD while also gaining 110 rushing yards and a TD on 19 carries. On the season, Texas State is averaging 22.0 ppg on 323.5 total yards per game (180.1 passing yds/g; 143.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Texas State has been led by duel threat QB Willie Jones III who has completed 49.5% of his passes for 5 TD & 2 INT while averaging 105.5 passing yds/g. Jones III is also the leading rusher for the Bobcats as he has 2 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 54.8 rushing yds/g. In the backfield with Jones II have been Robert Brown JR. (8.0 att/g; 38.4 yds/g; TD) and Anthony D. Taylor (7.9 att/g; 30.9 yds/g; 2 TD). The top receiving targets for the Bobcats have been Keenen Brown (3.9 rec/g; 52.5 yds/g; 4 TD), Hutch White (3.0 rec/g; 25.0 yds/g; 2 TD), and Jeremiah Haydel (1.4 rec/g; 24.8 yds/g; 3 TD). Defensively, Texas State is allowing their opponents to average 27.3 ppg on 372.6 total yards per game (199.1 passing yds/g; 173.5 rushing yds/g).

The Georgia State Panthers lost their 3rd consecutive game and dropped to 2-6 (1-3 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 37-34, this past Saturday. Georgia State fought back from a 17-0 deficit early in the game to take a 34-27 lead entering the 4th quarter, however, couldn’t hand on to the victory after allowing the Chanticleers to score 10 unanswered points in the 4th quarter. Georgia State outgained Coastal Carolina by a 531-476 margin and committed 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Panthers was RB Tra Barnett who had 161 yards & 2 TD’s on just 11 carries. On the season, Georgia State is averaging 25.4 ppg on 392.1 total yards (229.3 passing yds/g; 162.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Georgia State has been led by QB Dan Ellington who has completed 61.6% of his passes for 9 TD & 2 INT while averaging 213.1 passing yds/g. Ellington is also the top rusher for Georgia State as he has 5 rushing TD’s on the season while averaging 49.0 yds/g. The top receivers for Ellington and the Panthers have been Penny Hart (5.0 rec/g; 71.4 yds/g; 2 TD), Cornelius McCoy (2.9 rec/g; 36.5 yds/g; TD), and Christian Owens (1.7 rec/g; 18.3 yds/g; 2 TD). Leading the way for the Panthers backfield has been the duo of Tra Barnett (9.0 att/g; 44.9 yds/g; 5 TD) and Seth Paige (6.1 att/g; 37.6 yds/g; 4 TD). Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to average 36.6 ppg on 494.4 total yards per game (245.8 passing yds/g; 248.6 rushing yds/g).

The Bobcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall however, just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. The Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

This is certainly not the most exciting match-up on Saturday as both these teams currently set at the bottom of the Sun Belt East & West standings. Texas State can struggle finding ways putting up points, however, their defense has been solid as of late and they even almost defeated Georgia Southern as they lost to the Eagles by a 15-13 margin a few weeks ago. Georgia State ranks just 116th in scoring defense in College Football and although they do have a few weapons in Dan Ellington & Penny Hart, I think Texas State will do enough in this one to keep this one within the number. Take Texas State and the points.

Pick:
Texas State Bobcats +6.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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