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Gildan New Mexico Bowl: UTEP vs. Utah State - 12/20/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas El Paso Miners (7-5) at Utah State Aggies (9-4)
Date & Time Saturday December 20, 2014, 2:20 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Utah State Aggies -11 -- Over/Under: 52
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Texas El Paso Miners (7-5) at Utah State Aggies (9-4)
USA TODAY Sports

The UTEP Miners and the Utah State Aggies face off on Saturday at University Stadium in Albuquerque in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl.

The UTEP Miners won five of their last seven games to finish their regular season at 7-5 but most of the wins came against the soft part of their schedule. UTEP is averaging 28.3 points and 357 yards per game led by QB Jameill Showers who completed 55.7 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and five interceptions and he also rushed for 288 yards and four touchdowns. Aaron Jones leads the Miners in rushing with 1,282 yards and 11 touchdowns and Autrey Golden leads UTEP in receiving with 31 catches and Aaron Jones has 27 receptions. The Texas-El Paso defense allows 28.7 points and 369.8 yards per game with 19 takeaways and 22 sacks. Wesley Miller has 74 tackles, Alvin Jones has 52 tackles, and Devi Cockrell has 48 tackles. Most of UTEP’s games against Bowl teams were one-sided losses.

The Utah State Aggies looked to be in rough shape at the start of the season but they got it together and finished the season at 9-4. The USU offense is averaging 27.4 points and 381.2 yards per game using several QB’s because of injuries but for their final five games it has been freshman kent Myers who completed 69.2 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and two interceptions. LaJuan Hunt leads the Aggies ground attack with 524 yards, Jojo Natson has 458 yards, and Joe Hill has 457 yards and Hunter Sharpe is Utah State’s leading receiver with 63 catches and seven touchdowns. The Utah State defense allows 20.8 points and 362.3 yards per game with 29 takeaways and 48 sacks. Zach Vigil has 145 tackles and nine sacks, Nick Vigil has 116 tackles and seven sacks, and Frankie Sutera has 83 tackles and seven interceptions. Utah State were playing well but then were crushed in their season finale by Boise 50-19.

UTEP is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games, 4-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread, and 3-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Utah State is 16-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 11-4-1 against the spread following a loss, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five non-conference games.

We should see plenty of running in this one and I see that keeping the clock running and the score down so my free pick in this one is the under but it is a lean at best. 

Pick:
Under 46.5

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