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Hawaii vs. New Mexico - 10/30/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico Lobos (4-3) at Hawaii Warriors (4-4)
Date & Time Sunday October 30, 2016, 12:00 AM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Hawaii Warriors -2 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
OC Sports
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CFB | New Mexico Lobos (4-3) at Hawaii Warriors (4-4)

The New Mexico Lobos will travel to Aloha Stadium to take on the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors this Saturday night in College Football action.

The New Mexico Lobos won their 2nd straight game and improved to 4-3 (2-1 MW) on the season after defeating the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 59-17, this past Saturday. New Mexico rushed for an incredible 476 yards and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 35-3 halftime lead. New Mexico outgained Louisiana-Monroe by a 622-235 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Lobos was Tyrone Owens who had 171 rushing yards and a TD on just 9 carries. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 40.0 ppg on 484.3 total yards per game (110.1 passing, 374.1 rushing). Offensively, New Mexico has the top-rated rushing offense in the country which is led by Teriyon Gipson (9.6 att/g, 124.6 yds/g, 7 TD), Tyrone Owens (12.6 att/g, 98.1 yds/g, 4 TD), and Richard McQuarley (10.0 att/g, 48.71 yds/g, 10 TD), and QB Lamar Jordan (10.17 att/g, 55.5 yds/g, TD). QB Lamar Jordan has completed 24 of 48 passes on the season for 345 yards, 4 TD, and 2 INT. Patrick Reed (1.1 rec/g, 23.4 yds/g, TD), Q’ Drennan (1.1 rec/g, 22.4 yds/g, 2 TD), Matt Quarells (1.3 rec/g, 20.4 yds/g, TD), and Dameon Gamblin (1.6 rec/g, 13.0 yds/g, TD) have been the leading receivers for the Lobos. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 33.9 ppg on 377.9 total yards per game (231.9 passing, 146.0 rushing). The Lobos have forced just 7 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of -3.

The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors rebounded from their tough loss at home to UNLV to defeat the Air Force Falcons, 34-27 in 2 OT, this past Saturday and improved to 4-4 (3-1 MW) on the season. Hawai’i was able to force OT after a late missed FG by the Falcons and was able to secure the victory with 2 TD’s by WR Marcus Kemp in the OT periods. Hawai’i was outgained by Air Force by a 409-387 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was WR Marcus Kemp who had 151 yards and 2 TD’s on 6 receptions. On the season, Hawai’i is averaging 30.9 ppg on 418.9 total yards per game (235.9 passing, 183.0 rushing). Offensviely, the Rainbow Warriors have been led by QB Dru Brown who had completed 62.0% of his passes for 9 TD and 3 INT while averaging 177.6 passing yds/game since replacing QB Ikaika Woolsey. Brown’s main targets for the Rainbow Warriors have been Marcus Kemp (5.3 rec/g, 98.4 yds/g, 6 TD), John Ursua (3.3 rec/g, 45.6 yds/g, 2 TD), Ammon Barker (1.5 rec/g, 22.1 yds/g, TD), and TE Metuisela ‘Unga (1.0 rec/g, 13.0 yds/g, 3 TD). Leading the Hawai’i backfield has been Diocemy Saint Juste (12.9 att/g, 76.8 yds/g, 2 TD), Paul Harris (5.8 att/g, 41.0 yds/g, 2 TD) and Steven Lakalaka (8.13 att/g, 39.63 yds/g, 9 TD). Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing their opponents to average 37.4 ppg on 477.8 total yards per game (220.4 passing, 257.4 rushing). Hawai’i has committed 16 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -5.

The Lobos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game however, just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October. The Rainbow Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

New Mexico displayed how dominant their rushing attack can be against Louisiana-Monroe and although their defense ranks just 107th in scoring defense, it has done a decent job in terms of yardage allowed, as the Lobos rank just 50th in total defense. Hawai’i has looked strong since putting Dru Brown in as QB however, as displayed in their recent loss to UNLV, the Rainbow Warriors need to find ways to slow down opposing offenses as Hawai’i ranks 120th in scoring defense. It’s always a challenge to travel to Hawai’i however, as the Rainbow Warriors come into this matchup with just the 122nd ranked rushing defense, I think New Mexico will have enough success on the ground to be able to outscore the Rainbow Warriors and come away with the win. Take New Mexico on the ML. 

New Mexico Lobos - M/L

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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