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Houston vs. Tulsa - 10/4/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-3) at Houston Cougars (3-1)
Date & Time Thursday October 4, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Houston Cougars -17 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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CFB | Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-3) at Houston Cougars (3-1)
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane and Houston Cougars meet Thursday in college football action at TDECU Stadium.  

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane look for a statement road victory to snap a rough three-game losing streak. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane haven’t won a road game since November of 2016. Luke Skipper is completing 58.6 percent of his passes for 716 yards, four touchdowns and six interceptions. Skipper has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his 11 career games. Keenen Johnson and Justin Hobbs have combined for 354 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Keylon Stokes has 14 receptions. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 208.5 yards per contest, and Shamari Brooks leads the way with 375 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 28.8 points and 356.8 yards per game. Cooper Edmiston leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 32 tackles, Diamon Cannon has one sack and McKinley Whitfield has four pass deflections.

The Houston Cougars look to remain undefeated at home to build on their solid 3-1 record and keep pace in the AAC title picture. The Houston Cougars have won each of their last four home games. D’Eriq King is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 1,197 yards, 15 touchdowns and one interception. King has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. Marquez Stevenson and Keith Corbin have combined for 677 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Courtney Lark has 18 receptions. The Houston Cougars ground game is averaging 253 yards per contest, and Patrick Carr leads the way with 201 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Houston is allowing 30.5 points and 503 yards per game. Austin Robinson leads the Houston Cougars with 37 tackles, Isaiah Chambers has 4.5 sacks and Garrett Davis has two interceptions.

The Golden Hurricane are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are back to their losing ways, but those three losses are by an average of 10 points and eight of their last 11 losses have been decided by 10 or less points. Tulsa doesn't get blown out often and has been great at covering big spreads. The Houston Cougars have been consistent with the blowout victories out of the gate, but their three wins have come against teams with a combined 4-10 SU record, so I'm not sure how good Houston actually is. Also, despite major issues last year, Tulsa was able to beat Houston 45-17, one of the teams two victories all year. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have covered 13 of their last 18 games when a dobule-digit underdog. The Houston Cougars are just 4-4 ATS in their last eight games when a double-digit favorite. Give me the points.

Pick:
Tulsa Golden Hurricane +17

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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