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Idaho Vandals vs. Troy Trojans - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Troy Trojans (3-1) at Idaho Vandals (2-2)
Date & Time Saturday October 1, 2016, 5:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Idaho Vandals +13 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN3
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CFB | Troy Trojans (3-1) at Idaho Vandals (2-2)
USA TODAY Sports

The Troy Trojans will travel to play the Idaho Vandals in a Sun Belt Conference game this weekend.

The Idaho Vandals are 2-2 this season after beating UNLV by a score of 33-30 in overtime in their last game. Idaho was severely outgained in this game, but was able to hang on to force overtime and eventually get the win. The Idaho offense is averaging 18.3 points per game with 134 rushing yards and 193.5 passing yards per game. Matt Linehan is completing 52.3% of his passes for 736 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception for Idaho. Aaron Duckworth has rushed for 271 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Matt Linehan has added 64 rushing yards and 1 touchdown for the Vandals. Deon Watson has caught 14 passes for 212 yards, while Callen Hightower has caught 12 passes for 120 yards and 1 touchdown for Idaho. The Idaho defense is giving up 40.5 points per game with 205.8 rushing yards and 251.8 passing yards per game. Tony Lashley has led the Vandals defense with 30 tackles and 1 sack, while Jayshawn Jordan has added 29 tackles and 1 interception. Austin Rehkow has gone 6-8 on field goals for Idaho, with a long of 44 yards.

The Troy Trojans are 3-1 this season after beating New Mexico State by a score of 52-6 in their last game. Troy dominated this game but was actually outgained by New Mexico State. The Trojans took advantage of 5 turnovers and were able to run away with the win. The Troy offense is averaging 42.5 points per game with 229.2 rushing yards and 244 passing yards per game. Brandon Silvers is completing 60.2% of his passes for 831 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions for Troy. Jordan Chunn has rushed for 445 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Josh Anderson has rushed for 141 yards and 1 touchdown for the Trojans. Deondre Douglas has caught 25 passes for 273 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Emanuel Thompson has caught 24 passes for 219 yards and 3 touchdowns for Troy. The Troy defense is giving up 21 points per game with 116.8 rushing yards and 290.2 passing yards per game. William Lloyd has led the Troy defense with 21 tackles and 2 tackles for loss, while Kris Weatherspoon has added 19 tackles and 3.5 tackles for loss. Ryan Kay has gone 6-8 on field goals for Troy, with a long of 43 yards.

Troy is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Troy’s last 4 conference games. Idaho is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 October games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The over is 4-0 in Idaho’s last 4 conference games.

Both of these teams have played well to start the season, but the Idaho defense is concerning, giving up over 40 points per game. Troy has a high-powered offense that will take advantage of Idaho’s poor defense. Idaho has a very slow-paced offense and I am not sure they can keep up with Troy on the scoreboard. I like Troy here. 

Pick:
Troy Trojans -13

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