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Illinois vs. Minnesota - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-4) at Illinois Fighting Illini (3-5)
Date & Time Saturday November 3, 2018, 3:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +9.5 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-4) at Illinois Fighting Illini (3-5)
Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in college football action at Memorial Stadium.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers look for their first road victory of the season to get a game above a .500 record and improve their bowl bid chances. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have lost each of their last seven road games. Zack Annexstad is completing 52.2 percent of his passes for 1,277 yards, nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. Annexstad and Tanner Morgan have combined for 12 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season. Tyler Johnson and Rashod Bateman have combined for 1,210 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Chris Autman-Bell has 18 receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 151 yards per contest, and Mohamed Ibrahim leads the way with 464 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 28.9 points and 396.1 yards per game. Blake Cashman leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 68 tackles, Carter Coughlin has nine sacks and Jacob Huff has two interceptions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini could simply use a feel good victory here after losing five of their last six games. The Illinois Fighting Illini have lost seven of their last nine home games. AJ Bush Jr. is completing 53 percent of his passes for 708 yards, three touchdowns and four interceptions. M.J. Rivers II and Bush have combined for six touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. Trenard Davis and Sam Mays have combined for 447 receiving yards on 43 receptions while Ricky Smalling has 14 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 226.8 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 739 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 37.6 points and 535.6 yards per game. Del'Shawn Phillips leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 66 tackles, Bobby Roundtree has four sacks and Jartavius Martin has three interceptions.

The Golden Gophers are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games in November, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Fighting Illini are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in November and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Illinois, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are coming off a nice Friday win over Indiana, but what was a once tough, defensive team has now allowed 30 or more points in five straight games. The Illinois Fighting Illini have shown very little progress from week to week and are being outscored by 32.6 points during their three-game losing streak. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have split their last eight games ATS when favored by at least seven points. The Illinois Fighting Illini have failed to cover each of their last four games as an underdog of at least seven points. One thing we do know about Minnesota is that it usually beats up on the teams its supposed to beat up on. The Illinois Fighting Illini have been a punching bag over this last month and haven't provided much value against the number either. You almost have to side with Minnesota by default. 

Minnesota Golden Gophers -9.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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