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Iowa State vs. Iowa - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State Cyclones
Date & Time Saturday September 14, 2019, 4:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Jack Trice Stadium
Ames, IA
The Line
The Line: Iowa State Cyclones -1 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
FS1
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Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Iowa State Cyclones meet Saturday in college football action at Jack Trice Stadium.

The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a 3-0 start when they take the road for the first time. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won three of their last five road games. Nate Stanley is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 488 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions. Stanley has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 11 games. Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Mekhi Sargent have combined for 125 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Nico Ragaini has four receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 203.5 yards per contest, and Sargent leads the way with 150 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Iowa is allowing seven points and 185 yards per game. Kristian Welch leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 16 tackles, Amani Jones has one sack and Michael Ojemudia has two interceptions.

The Iowa State Cyclones have had an extra week to prepare and are coming off a three overtime win over Northern Iowa. The Iowa State Cyclones have won their last seven home games. Brock Purdy is completing 73.2 percent of his passes for 278 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Purdy has 18 touchdown passes on 261 career pass attempts. Deshaunte Jones and Charlie Kolar have combined for 171 receiving yards on 18 catches while La'Michael Pettway has three receptions. The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 185 yards per contest, and Johnnie Lang leads the way with 60 yards and on 14 carries. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 26 points and 262 yards per game. Marcel Spears Jr. leads the Iowa State Cyclones with nine tackles, O'Rien Vance has two sacks and Eyioma Uwazurike has one pass deflection.

The Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Cyclones are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. Big Ten, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Iowa State and the under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings. The under is 15-6-1 in Cyclones last 22 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 games overall.

The Iowa Hawkeyes have won the last four meetings against Iowa State, and those games have been decided by an average of 16.5 points. Iowa has failed to cover six of its last eight games as an underdog. Iowa State has failed to cover five of its last seven games as a favorite. Home field matters in a rivalry game and you also have to give the Iowa State Cyclones points for having an extra week to prepare. Iowa State is a program that's improved greatly over the years and has been really good at home. I'll give the edge to the Cyclones in this toss-up contest.

Pick:
Iowa State Cyclones -1

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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