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Iowa vs. Northwestern - 11/10/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) at Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3)
Date & Time Saturday November 10, 2018, 3:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes -10 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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CFB | Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) at Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3)
Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Northwestern Wildcats and Iowa Hawkeyes meet Saturday in college football action at Kinnick Stadium.

The Northwestern Wildcats look to remain undefeated on the road while becoming bowl eligible for a fourth straight season. The Northwestern Wildcats have won six straight road games. Clayton Thorson is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 2,213 yards, 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Thorson has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his last 11 games. Flynn Nagel and Bennett Skowronek have combined for 1,161 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Cameron Green has 39 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Jeremy Larkin leads the way with 346 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 24.4 points and 377.6 yards per game. Blake Gallagher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 86 tackles, Joe Gaziano has 4.5 sacks and JR Pace has three interceptions. 

The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a spark of consistency here after splitting their last six games. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won seven of their last nine home games. Nate Stanley is completing 57.2 percent of his passes for 2,039 yards, 17 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Stanley has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last nine games. T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant have combined for 979 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Nick Easley has 31 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 156.7 yards per contest, and Toren Young leads the way with 466 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 18.6 points and 283.7 yards per game. Jake Gervase leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 55 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has seven sacks and Geno Stone has three interceptions.

The Wildcats are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games and 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 6-1 in Hawkeyes last 7 games overall and the over is 6-1-1 in Wildcats last 8 road games.

The Northwestern Wildcats fell apart last week against Notre Dame, but they've played their best football on the road this season where they're outscoring teams by 5.7 points. The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off back-to-back losses, and while they're known as a physical defensive bunch, they have given up 30 or more points in three of their last five games. The Northwestern Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit underdog. The Iowa Hawkeyes have covered four of their last five games as a double-digit favorite. Iowa has been a little shaky recently, and Northwestern has played its best ball away from home all season long, as weird as that sounds. I have to side with the points in this spot.

Northwestern Wildcats +10

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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