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Kansas State vs. Texas - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Texas Longhorns (3-3) at Kansas State Wildcats (3-3)
Date & Time Saturday October 22, 2016, 12:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Kansas State Wildcats -3 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN2
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CFB | Texas Longhorns (3-3) at Kansas State Wildcats (3-3)
USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Longhorns and Kansas State Wildcats clash in a key college football Big 12 matchup Saturday afternoon at Bill Snyder Family Stadium on ESPN2.

The Texas Longhorns look for a strong road victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Texas Longhorns have lost six of their last seven true road games. Shane Buechele is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 1,500 yards, 13 touchdowns and five interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last six games. Jerrod heard and Dorian Leonard have combined for 426 receiving yards and five touchdowns while John Burt has 16 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 238.8 yards per contest, and D’Onta Foreman leads the way with 731 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 34 points and 444.3 yards per game. Anthony Wheeler leads the Texas Longhorns with 48 tackles, Naashon Hughes has 3.5 sacks and Dylan Haines has two interceptions.

The Kansas State Wildcats also could use a big conference victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Kansas State Wildcats haven’t lost back-to-back games all season. Jesse Ertz is completing 49.6 percent of his passes for 756 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Ertz has just one touchdown pass in his last three games. Dominique Heath and Byron Pringle have combined for 481 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Deante Burton has 13 receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 175.6 yards per contest, and Charles Jones leads the way with 321 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 21 points and 343.5 yards per game. Elijah Lee leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 51 tackles, Jordan Willis has six sacks and D.J. Reed has two interceptions.

The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The Wildcats are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Kansas State and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 

The Texas Longhorns still struggle on the defensive side of the ball and can't win on the road. Kansas State has done a nice job of bouncing back from losses all season and are far more disciplined than the Longhorns who make boneheaded plays way too often. Also, the home team has won five of the last six meetings between Kansas State and Texas. This is the type of game Kansas State should grind out a victory.

Give me the KSU Wildcats and the small line. 

Pick:
Kansas State Wildcats -3

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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