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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State - 9/22/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-0) at Kentucky Wildcats (3-0)
Date & Time Saturday September 22, 2018, 7:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats +10.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN2
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CFB | Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-0) at Kentucky Wildcats (3-0)
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in SEC conference action on the gridiron in a college football matchup from Kroger Field in Lexington, KY on Saturday night.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to keep their momentum going after a 56-10 win over Louisiana-Lafayette pushed the Bulldogs to 3-0 this season. Nick Fitzgerald threw for 243 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 of 21 passing while also leading the Bulldogs with 15 carries for 107 yards and 4 touchdowns. Aeris Williams rushed for 101 yards and a touchdown on 11 carries while Keytaon Thompson rushed for a score of his own. Keith Dixon led the Bulldogs with 4 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown while Stephen Guidry hauled in a TD grab of his own. Defensively, Mississippi State combined for a pair of sacks and Johnathan Abram had an interception while Cameron Dantzler had a team-high 6 tackles in the win.

The Kentucky Wildcats will be looking to build on their own 3-0 start after pummelling Murray State by a final score of 48-10. Terry Wilson threw for 163 yards while rushing for a team-high 80 yards and a touchdown. Gunnar Hoak and Benny Snell each threw for a touchdown while Snell rushed for 75 yards and a touchdown as well. Zy’Aire Hugh, Asim Rose and Danny Clark each added a rushing score, while Lynn Bowden led the Wildcats with 8 catches for 89 yards. Allen Dailey had a receiving score while Clevan Thomas added 51 receiving yards. Defensively, Marquan McCall had a sack and Jamin Davis had an interception while Mike Edwards, Darius West and Derrick Baity each had a team-high 3 tackles in the win. 

Mississippi State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Kentucky is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 conference games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

The points with a home dog are always tempting, considering that Kentucky has a solid ground game. However, Mississippi State could be a huge dark horse to reach the SEC title game, as Fitzgerald has been an absolute monster to start the year. I like Mississippi State to win this one by a couple of touchdowns on Saturday so i’ll lay the points with the Bulldogs here.

Pick:
Mississippi State -10.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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