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Kentucky vs. Penn State - 1/1/19 - Citrus Bowl College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Kentucky Wildcats (9-3) at Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3)
Date & Time Tuesday January 1, 2019, 1:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -7 -- Over/Under: 44
TV Channel
ABC
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CFB | Kentucky Wildcats (9-3) at Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3)
Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

The Kentucky Wildcats and the Penn State Nittany Lions will meet up on Tuesday in college football’s Citrus Bowl. 

Penn State enters this one at 9-3 on the season. After dropping to powerhouse Michigan on November 3, the Nittany Lions finished off with victories over Wisconsin, Rutgers and Maryland. 

In the Terrapins game, Penn State QB Trace McSorley put up 230 yards and a TD, and Miles Sanders led the rush with 14 carries for 128 yards. KJ Hamler was the top Lions receiver with three grabs for 90 yards. 

Over on the Kentucky side, they’re 9-3 this year as well. The Wildcats pushed through a gauntlet of ranked teams toward the middle of the season, and overall did pretty well, ending with a pair of wins over Middle Tennessee and Louisville. 

In the Cardinals game, Kentucky QB Terry Wilson put up 261 yards, three TDs and a pick, and Asim Rose rushed for 112 yards and a TD. Lynn Bowden led the Wildcats on 86 yards receiving with two TDs from six catches. 

The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five on turf and 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. Kentucky is 3-12 ATS in the last 15 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral-site games. 

Meanwhile, the Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight non-conference games and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 following an ATS win. Penn State is 24-9-2 ATS in the last 35 overall and 5-2 ATS in the last seven neutral-site games. 

Penn State was certainly overmatched against Michigan (42-7 final score), but the other ranked team they faced (Ohio State) just barely eked out a 27-26 victory. The Lions definitely belong in the national conversation. 

Kentucky seems like they’ve been a little less consistent over the past several weeks, even thought they’ve had some tough draws in there. All things considered I’m going for the Nittany Lions in what should be a great game.

Pick:
Penn State Nittany Lions -7

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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