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Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Vanderbilt Commodores (3-4) at Kentucky Wildcats (5-1)
Date & Time Saturday October 20, 2018, 7:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -11.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
SEC
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CFB | Vanderbilt Commodores (3-4) at Kentucky Wildcats (5-1)
John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in SEC conference college football action from Kroger Field in Lexington, KY on Saturday night.

The Vanderbilt Commodores will look for a big road win to get back to get back to .500 after falling to 3-4 with a 37-27 loss to Florida in their last outing. Kyle Shurmur has thrown for 1,629 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 58.7% passing, while Ke’Shawn Vaughn leads Vandy with 495 rushing yards and 5 TDs on the ground this season. Kalija Lipscomb leads Vanderbilt with 49 grabs for 560 yards and 6 receiving TDs this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 389.9 yards of total offense and 25.4 points per game this season.

The Kentucky Wildcats come into this matchup off of their bye week, having time to stew after their first loss of the season coming in the form of a 20-14 overtime loss to Texas A&M in their last outing. Terry Wilson has thrown for 703 yards, 3 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while Benny Snell Jr. has rushed for 724 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Lynn Bowden Jr. leads the Wildcats with 27 catches for 273 yards and 2 touchdowns on the year. As a team, Kentucky is averaging 373.3 yards of total offense and 29.3 points per game this season. On defense, Kentucky is allowing just 305.7 yards of total offense and the 4th-fewest points per game against, allowing just 13.8 per game this season. 

Vanderbilt is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games while the under is 14-6-1 in their last 21 road games. Kentucky is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a loss while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. Vanderbilt is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Vanderbilt has had success when these two teams meet, but the fact is that this is the best Kentucky has looked in a while, and Vanderbilt just found a way to lose against Florida with a 21-3 lead when it looked like Vanderbilt had turned into a completely different team. The Wildcats are also rested after their bye week and should win this one by a couple of touchdowns so I’ll lay the points with Kentucky here.

Pick:
Kentucky -11.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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