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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals - 11/28/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Louisville Cardinals (6-5) at Kentucky Wildcats (5-6)
Date & Time Saturday November 28, 2015, 12:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats +4 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
SEC Network
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CFB | Louisville Cardinals (6-5) at Kentucky Wildcats (5-6)

The Kentucky Wildcats and the Louisville Cardinals face off on Saturday in Lexington in college football’s Battle of the Bluegrass State.

The Kentucky Wildcats are 5-6 this season and after a fast start and high expectations this season has been a major disappointment. The Kentucky offense is averaging 24.7 points and 379.4 yards per game with 20 turnovers. Drew Barker started last week at QB after Patrick Towles had started most of the season and Barker led the Cats to a win. Stanly Williams is Kentucky’s top rusher with 818 yards and five touchdowns and Dorian Baker leads in receptions with 52 and three touchdowns. The Kentucky defense is allowing 26.5 points and 385.5 yards per game with eight interceptions, nine fumble recoveries, and 17 sacks. Josh Forrest leads UK In tackles with 85, Marcus McWilson has 66 tackles, and Cory Johnson has 65 tackles. Kentucky needs a win here to become bowl eligible.

The Louisville Cardinals are 6-5 this season and despite it being a rebuilding year they are bowl eligible. The Louisville offense is averaging 28 points and 398.7 yards per game with 24 turnovers. Kyle Bolin and Lamar Jackson both see time at QB with neither being overly impressive. Jackson leads the Cardinals in rushing yards with 548 and seven touchdowns and Jamari Staples is the leading receiver with 35 and three touchdowns. The Louisville defense is allowing 24.36 points and 326.4 yards per game with 15 interceptions, seven fumble recoveries, and 29 sacks. Keith Kelsey leads UL with 98 tackles including 3.5 sacks, James Burgess has 86 tackles, and Josh Harvey-Clemons has 72 tackles. Louisville is coming off of a tough loss at Pitt last week.

Kentucky is 2-6 against the spread in their last eight home games, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight non-SEC games, and 1-4 against the spread following a win. Louisville is 5-2 against the spread against the SEC, 15-5 against the spread following a loss, and 1-4 against the spread against a team with a losing record. The road team has covered the point spread in six of the last seven meetings of these two.

Kentucky isn’t a good team this season and they should get blasted at home here.

Louisville Cardinals -4

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