Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Texas State Bobcats
|Date & Time||Thursday October 10, 2019, 9:15 PM (EDT)|
San Marcos, TX
Louisiana-Monroe -2.5; total 63.5
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks hit the road and travel to San Marcos, Texas to take on the Texas State Bobcats in midweek Sun Belt Conference action.
The Sun Belt Conference continues to put itself in the national spotlight with these midweek games for those college football fanatics who need their fix on a Thursday night. While the marquee matchup will certainly be on Wednesday night with Appalachian State taking on Louisiana, this matchup is certainly not without its intrigue. It features what the Sun Belt seems to always feature -- two pretty evenly matched teams that are difficult to separate on paper.
Both of these teams sit at 2-3 on the season and 1-0 early on in Sun Belt play. Both have three losses to good (or great) teams and two wins against less-than-impressive competition. The Warhawks took Florida State to overtime before losing in week 2 before a 72-20 drubbing at the hands of Iowa State. Last week, UL-Monroe lost 52-33 to Memphis. Its only wins this season come over FCS Grambling (31-9) and Sun Belt rival South Alabama (30-17). Similarly, the Bobcats opened with three straight losses to Texas A&M (41-7), Wyoming (23-14), and SMU (47-17) before taking two straight against Georgia State and Nicholls.
This game is tough considering that neither team has been good against the spread (ATS) in recent memory. UL-Monroe is 1-4 ATS in its last five games while Texas State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six. Neither team has been predictable either way in the total, with five of the two teams’ combined scoring going over the total and four going under.
So to pick this game, it’s easier just to look at the trends. UL-Monroe is 1-3 in its last four games allowing an average of 46.5 points per game. Texas State is on a modest two-game win streak and is coming off of a bye, meaning the Bobcats have had two weeks to prepare for a fairly potent Warhawk offense. It’ll be close, but take Texas State and the points.