Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Miss - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Miss - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Miss

Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 2:31 PM (Joe Aillet Stadium)

Southern Miss -1 . Total 55 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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This Conference USA matchup takes us to Ruston, LA where the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles play the host Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.  The Golden Eagles enter this game with a 4-2 record and 2-0 in conference play. The Golden Eagles have won 2 in a row and are coming off a 45-27 win over North Texas.  The Bulldogs are 5-1 and 2-0 in conference play. The Bulldogs have won 5 in a row since their opening week loss at Texas. The Bulldogs beat UMass last week 69-21.  

 

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The Golden Eagles are led by quarterback Jack Abraham who has completed almost 72% of his passes for 1,936 yds, 12 TD’s and 4 picks. Quez Watkins leads the receiving core with 528 yds on 20 receptions.  He has totaled 3 touchdowns. Defensive back D.Q. Thomas leads the way defensively with 45 tackles, 2 sacks, and 2 interceptions. Offensively Southern Mississippi is averaging 29 points per game and the defense is giving up almost 34 per game.

 

La Tech is led by J’Mar Smith he is 134/210 for 1,557 yds and 9 touchdowns.  Running back Justin Henderson has rushed for 478 yds and 8 touchdowns. He is averaging 8.2 yds per carry.  Griffin Hebert has added 3 receiving touchdowns to go along with 235 yds receiving on 16 receptions. La Tech is averaging 36.8 points per game offensively which ranks 17th in the country.  The defense is giving up just under 25 per game. 

 

Betting Trends since 2018:

Southern Miss is 9-8 ATS in all games.

Southern Miss is 5-5 ATS as the favorite. 

The over is 4-4 when Southern Miss is the away team. 

La Tech is 4-2 ATS as an underdog. 

La Tech is 7-4 ATS after a win. 

The over is 2-8 when La Tech plays a conference opponent. 

 

La Tech is 3-0 at home this season and have won 5 straight.  Southern Miss is 1-2 on the road thus far, however both losses came to SEC foes. I know the trends don’t favor the over will cash here, but both these offenses have been putting up an average of almost 30 points per game this season.  Southern Miss has been giving up an average of more than what they are scoring themselves. I am comfortable with going with the over, as this should be a shootout. Final score prediction, La Tech wins 35-30 and the total goes over. 

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Chris’s Pick Over 57

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.