Louisville Cardinals vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs - 12/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Louisville Cardinals vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs - 12/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Louisville Cardinals

Monday, December 30, 2019 at 4:00 PM (Nissan Stadium)

MSST -3.5 Total 62

TV: ESPN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-6) will take on the Louisville Cardinals (7-5) in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl at the Nissan Stadium. The Bulldogs clinched a bowl game after beating Ole Miss on Thanksgiving night after Ole Miss missed the extra point after a touchdown late in the fourth quarter.

The Bulldogs have used plenty of different quarterback combinations this season but Garrett Shrader has stood out the most. The freshman quarterback threw for 1,170 yards and eight touchdowns. His legs were more impressive. He ran for 587 yards on 113 carries and scored six touchdowns on the ground. Shrader has helped Kylin Hill adapt into one of the nation’s best running backs. Hill ran 235 times for 1,347 yards and ten touchdowns. The 235 attempts were the 14th most in college football. The Bulldogs rely on Hill.

Louisville had an up and down season in the ACC. After a dreadful year last season, I don’t think anyone is complaining. Louisville is led by Micale Cunningham who has thrown for 1,786 yards and 20 touchdowns. His QBR is 81.9, 10th best in college football. Javian Hawkins, the Cardinals running back has 241 attempts on the ground, which is the 10th most in the nation. He ran for 1,420 yards on the ground for eight touchdowns. Tutu Atwell has become the main target in Louisville with 61 receptions for 1,129 yards and 12 touchdowns.

Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. SEC.
Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 neutral site games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games overall.
 
The Cardinals and Bulldogs both average over 400 yards on offense and over 200 yards on the ground. The Cardinals have more weapons when throwing the ball. However, the Bulldogs can create long yardage plays and catch you off guard. Louisville allows 446 yards from their opponent. Look for the Bulldogs to take advantage. Final Score Predictions: Mississippi State Bulldogs wins and covers ATS, 38-31.

 

Aaron’s Pick Mississippi State Bulldogs -3.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.