Maryland vs. Penn State - 9/27/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Maryland vs. Penn State
Friday, September 27, 2019 at 7:01 PM (Maryland Stadium)
The Line: Maryland +6 -- Over/Under:
The Penn State Nittany Lions and Maryland Terrapins meet Friday in college football action at Maryland Stadium.
The Penn State Nittany Lions look for their first road win to improve to 4-0 on the season. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won four of their last five road games. Sean Clifford is completing 58.7 percent of his passes for 781 yards, six touchdowns and zero interceptions. Clifford enters this game with 82 career pass attempts. KJ Hamler and Jahan Dotson have combined for 388 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Pat Freiermuth has 10 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 192 yards per contest, and Journey Brown leads the way with 175 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 10 points and 323.3 yards per game. Jan Johnson leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 21 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has 3.5 sacks and John Reid has two interceptions.
The Maryland Terrapins look for a statement win to improve to 3-1 on the season. The Maryland Terrapins have won five of their last seven home games. Josh Jackson is completing 51 percent of his passes for 724 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Jackson has 13 touchdown passes dating back to last season. Dontay Demus Jr. and Darryl Jones have combined for 305 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Chigoziem Okonkwo has nine receptions. The Maryland Terrapins ground game is averaging 277.3 yards per contest, and Anthony McFarland Jr. leads the way with 225 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Maryland is allowing 13.3 points and 298.3 yards per game. Antoine Brooks Jr. leads the Maryland Terrapins with 25 tackles, Keandre Jones has 3.5 sacks and Jordan Mosley has one interception.
The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September, 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games and 26-11-2 ATS in their last 39 games overall. The Terrapins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a bye week. The over is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 home games. The over is 16-7 in Nittany Lions last 23 games overall.
The Penn State Nittany Lions have split their last 10 games ATS as a road favorite. The Maryland Terrapins have failed to cover six of their last nine games as a home underdog. Penn State has had a little extra time to recover from a physical game against Pittsburgh, while Maryland hopes it can regroup after beating ranked Syracuse but then being tripped up by Temple. This is a good spot for the Maryland Terrapins to prove their worth with it being Friday night and under the lights, but it's hard to trust them against quality teams. If I was getting more points I'd consider it, but Penn State under a touchdown is tough to turn down.