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Miami vs. LSU - 9/2/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami-FL Hurricanes (0-0) at LSU Tigers (0-0)
Date & Time Sunday September 2, 2018, 7:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: LSU Tigers +3.5 -- Over/Under: 47
TV Channel
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CFB | Miami-FL Hurricanes (0-0) at LSU Tigers (0-0)
Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Hurricanes and LSU Tigers meet Sunday in college football action at AT&T Stadium.

The Miami Hurricanes are coming off a 10-win season and hope to win double-digit games back-to-back years for the first time since 2002-03. The Miami Hurricanes have won five of their last six regular season openers. Miami has playmakers on offense in Ahmmon Richards, Travis Homer and DeeJay Dallas, but the success will come down to if quarterback Malik Rosier can build on what was an up and down season. Rosier showed promise in games such as Florida State, but he struggled down the stretch and looked shellshocked with little confidence. Defensively, Miami lost some key starters, but Shaq Quarterman and Michael Pinckney still form one of the better linebacker duos and Joe Jackson is one of the top defensive ends in the country. Miami is fast and physical defensively, and the presence of the turnover chain has motivated this side of the ball to create as many takeaways as possible. The Miami Hurricanes have lost two of their last three neutral site games.

The LSU Tigers have won no less than eight games every year since 2000 and would love to set the tone on a season many aren’t sure what to expect. The LSU Tigers have won 12 of their last 13 regular season openers. LSU is inexperienced on the offensive side of the ball, as its going to have a new quarterback, unproven running backs and thin depth at wide receiver. Nick Brossette has shown promise at running back but has just 46 career carries, while quarterback Joe Burrow had just 39 pass attempts at Ohio State. Receiver Jonathan Giles is the playmaker right away for the Tigers, as he had 13 receiving touchdowns with Texas Tech back in 2016. Defensively, LSU has one of the better linebackers in Devin White and a quality cornerback in Greedy Williams. Dave Aranda is still calling the shots at defensive coordinator and with the five returning starters along with the recruiting class, LSU should once again be a top-20 defense in college football. The LSU Tigers have split their last four neutral site games.

The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in September and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 20-8-2 in Tigers last 30 games overall and the under is 9-2 in Hurricanes last 11 games overall.

This is sure to be a defensive battle with that side of the ball being the strength for both teams, so the under could be worth a look here. As for a side, I'm going with the Hurricanes and the reasonable chalk. The Miami Hurricanes have much more clarity on offense, and while Rosier has his question marks, he did show early last year he's capable of being a good game manager and can make just enough throws to get the job done. Miami has the playmakers that should allow him to play within himself and not have to do too much. LSU seems to be breaking out new players across the board offensively, and there's only one way that's going to go against a quality, aggressive defense such as the Canes. I'll eat the chalk.   

Miami Hurricanes -3.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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