Michigan State vs. Arizona State - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils at Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 3:00 PM (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -12 -- Over/Under:
The Arizona State Sun Devils and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium.
The Arizona State Sun Devils look for a statement victory while improving to 3-0 on the season. The Arizona State Sun Devils have lost four of their last six road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 588 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Daniels enter this game with 51 carer pass attempts. Brandon Aiyuk and Eno Benjamin have combined for 364 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Frank Darby has four receptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 131 yards per contest, and Benjamin leads the way with 171 yards on 46 carries. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing seven points and 252.5 yards per game. Evan Fields leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with 12 tackles, Khaylan Kearse-Thomas has 1.5 sacks and Cam Phillips has one interception.
The Michigan State Spartans also look for a 3-0 record with their third straight home victory. The Michigan State Spartans have won six of their last nine home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 506 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 322 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Matt Dotson has five receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 179.5 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 209 yards on 25 carries. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 12 points and 216 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 13 tackles, Kenny Willekes has 3.5 sacks and Antjuan Simmons has one interception.
The Sun Devils are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 9-1 in Spartans last 10 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Sun Devils last 6 games overall.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have covered six straight and 13 of their last 18 games when a double-digit underdog. The Michigan State Spartans have failed to cover 12 of their last 18 games as a double-digit favorite. Arizona State didn't look good last week against Sacramento State, barely winning the game as massive favorites, and the Hornets actually had one more first down than the Sun Devils. The Michigan State Spartans aren't the blowout type, but they did handle a decent Western Michigan squad, and they have a big size advantage in the trenches in this contest. Pac-12 schools usually get handled along the offensive and defensive lines when playing schools from the Big Ten and SEC. I'll eat the chalk here.