Michigan State vs. Indiana - 9/28/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State vs. Indiana - 9/28/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Michigan State vs. Indiana

Saturday, September 28, 2019 at 2:31 PM (Spartan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan State -15.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Indiana Hoosiers and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium.

The Indiana Hoosiers look for their first road win to improve to 4-1 on the season. The Indiana Hoosiers have lost three of their last five road games. Peyton Ramsey is completing 74.3 percent of his passes for 635 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Ramsey and Michael Penix Jr. have combined for eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Peyton Hendershot and Whop Philyor have combined for 463 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Donavan Hale has nine receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 120.5 yards per contest, and Stevie Scott III leads the way with 215 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 19.5 points and 294.8 yards per game. Reakwon Jones leads the Indiana Hoosiers with 24 tackles, Demarcus Elliott has two sacks and Jaylin Williams has one interception.

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The Michigan State Spartans look for their third home win to improve to 4-1 on the season. The Michigan State Spartans have split their last eight home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,025 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 629 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Matt Seybert has eight receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 145.2 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 357 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 11 points and 228.3 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 39 tackles, Kenny Willekes has four sacks and Antjuan Simmons has one interception.

The Hoosiers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on grass. The Spartans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on grass, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Michigan State and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 10-2 in Spartans last 12 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Hoosiers last 6 games overall.

The Indiana Hoosiers have split their last eight games ATS as a double-digit underdog. The Michigan State Spartans have failed to cover seven of their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. Michigan State actually looked good last week on the road against Northwestern, but I'm not sure that means we start laying double-digit chalk with a team that has nail biter after nail biter and consistently comes up short as big favorites. The last three meetings between Indiana and MSU have been decided by an average of 8.3 points. Give me the Indiana Hoosiers and the free touchdowns. I just don't trust Michigan State and big numbers.

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Randy’s Pick Indiana +15.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.