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Michigan vs. Penn State - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2) at Michigan Wolverines (7-1)
Date & Time Saturday November 3, 2018, 3:45 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Michigan Wolverines -10.5 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2) at Michigan Wolverines (7-1)
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium.

The Penn State Nittany Lions look to remain undefeated on the road with a victory that would improve the quality of their bowl game. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won six of their last eight road games. Trace McSorley is completing 52.8 percent of his passes for 1,628 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. McSorley has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 14 games. KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson have combined for 790 receiving yards and six touchdowns while DeAndre Thompkins has 12 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 225.3 yards per contest, and Miles Sanders leads the way with 834 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 22.3 points and 386.8 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 43 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has six sacks and Amani Oruwariye has two interceptions. 

The Michigan Wolverines look to build on their seven-game winning streak to stay in the Big Ten and college football playoff conversations. The Michigan Wolverines have won seven of their last eight home games. Shea Patterson is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,523 yards, 12 touchdowns and three interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 15 games. Zach Gentry and Donovan Peoples-Jones have combined for 658 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Nico Collins has 21 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 212.7 yards per contest, and Karan Higdon leads the way with 831 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 14.4 points and 220 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Michigan Wolverines with 49 tackles, Josh Uche has five sacks and Josh Metellus has three interceptions.

The Nittany Lions are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 conference games and 22-7-2 ATS in their last 31 games overall. The Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The over is 28-13-1 in Wolverines last 42 games overall and the over is 9-2 in Nittany Lions last 11 games overall.

The Penn State Nittany Lions haven't looked good in their last four games, as they lost to Ohio State and Michigan State, and they needed comebacks to beat Indiana and Iowa. McSorley also suffered a knee injury last week, and while he did comeback in the game, there's no way he's 100 percent. The Michigan Wolverines have had an extra week to prepare for this game and are outscoring teams by 20 points in their last three games. The Penn State Nittany Lions have failed to cover 10 of their last 14 games when a double-digit underdog. The Michigan Wolverines have covered six of their last nine games when a double-digit favorite. Penn State has a banged up quarterback who hasn't played well this season to begin with, and he's going up against the best defense in college football that's had an extra week of rest. This simply isn't a good spot for Penn State. Look for Michigan to get another comfortable victory as they build up even more momentum heading into the Ohio State game that's quickly approaching.

Michigan Wolverines -10.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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