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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide - 11/14/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2)
Date & Time Saturday November 14, 2015, 3:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 -- Over/Under:
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CFB | Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday in Starkville in a SEC Week 11 college football matchup.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-2 this season and they have won their last four games in a row and seem to be improving every week. Mississippi State is averaging 34.7 points and 443.4 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 10 times. MSU QB Dak Prescott has completed 66.7 percent of his passes with 18 touchdowns and an interception and he has rushed for 418 yards and seven touchdowns. Brandon Holloway and Ashton Shumpert have shared carried in the Bulldogs backfield while Fred Ross leads in catches with 51 and De’Runnya Wilson has 37 catches and eight touchdowns. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 17.2 points and 369.3 yards per game with 10 interceptions, one fumble recovery, and 25 sacks. Richie Brown has 73 tackles and 5.5 sacks, Beniquez Brown has 59 tackles, and Kivon Coman has 52 tackles. Last year Mississippi State was number one in the country around this time of year, this season they are flying under the radar although they may be a better football team.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-1 this season and control their own destiny in the SEC West and in the College Football Playoffs. The Alabama offense is averaging 33.1 points 423.2 yards and they have turned the ball over 15 times. Tide QB Jake Coker has completed 64.9 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions and he has rushed for two touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the Alabama rushing attack with 1.254 yards and 17 touchdowns and Calvin Ridley is the top receiver with 52 catches and three touchdowns. The Alabama defense is allowing 16.3 points and 265.3 yards per game with 13 interceptions, six fumble recoveries, and29 sacks. Reggie Ragland leads the Alabama defense with 74 tackles, Eddie Jackson has five interceptions, and Jonathan Allen has six interceptions. Alabama appears to be getting better as they hope to get a chance to avenge last season’s playoff loss.

Mississippi State is 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games, 5-1 against the spread following a win, and 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games. Alabama is 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games, 0-4 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread, and 4-0 against the spread on the road against a team with a winning home record. The home team has covered the point spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.

Alabama has to be somewhat spent after leaving it all on the field against LSU but Mississippi State’s offense is a little too one dimensional to take advantage so I look for Alabama to wear MSU down and win pulling away.

Alabama Crimson Tide -7

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