Kentucky Wildcats (4-2) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-2)
|Date & Time||Saturday October 24, 2015, 7:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -11.5 -- Over/Under: 54
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday at Davis Wade Stadium in a SEC college football matchup.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 5-2 this season and are coming off of a convincing win over Louisiana Tech. The Mississippi State offense is averaging 34.1 points and 425 yards per game and they have turned the ball over seven times. MSU QB Dak Prescott has completed 65.8 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and he has rushed for 254 yards and four touchdowns. Brandon Holloway is the Bulldogs top option at running back with 160 yards and Fred Ross is the top receiver with 38 catches and De’Runnya Wilson has 29 catches with five touchdowns. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 18 points and 368.4 yards per game with five interceptions, one fumble recovery, and 19 sacks. Richie Brown is MSU’s leading tackler with 61, Beniquez Brown has 44, and J.T. Gray has 38. With a win here Mississippi State will be bowl eligible.
The Kentucky Wildcats are 4-2 this season and they are looking to bounce back from a loss in their last game against Auburn. The Kentucky offense is averaging 26.2 points and 387.5 yards per game and they have turned the ball over eight times. UK QB Patrick Towles has completed 61.5 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. Stanley Williams is Kentucky’s top rusher with 456 yards and three touchdowns and Dorian Baker has 30 catches and three touchdowns and Garrett Johnson has 28 catches and a touchdown. The UK defense is allowing 23.2 points and 374.8 yards per game with four interceptions, three fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. Josh Forrest has 58 tackles to lead the Wildcats, Marcus McWilson has 38 tackles and Cory Johnson has 38 tackles. Kentucky is still looking for their first big win of the year and a win here would fill that void.
Mississippi State is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 SEC games, and 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Kentucky is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games, 7-18 against the spread in their last 25 road games, and 3-7 against the spread following a loss. The road team has covered the point spread in seven of the last nine meetings of these two.
This is just way too many points and I see Kentucky having a chance to win outright so getting double digits this looks like a layup.