Mississippi State vs. Alabama - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Alabama at Mississippi State
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 12:01 PM (Davis Wade Stadium)
Alabama Crimson Tide -21.0 . Total 63.5
The Alabama Crimson Tide hit the road for a matchup with the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Crimson Tide are ranked 3rd and are (8-1) on the season. The Crimson Tide suffered their first loss of the season, losing to the 2nd ranked team the LSU Tigers, 46-41. The Bulldogs are (4-5) on the season and snapped a 4 game losing streak this past Saturday. The Bulldogs beat the Arkansas Razorbacks, 54 to 24.
Alabama got behind early and ran out of time in their comeback bid. Alabama fell behind 33-13 to LSU at the half. The Crimson Tide out scored the Tigers 28 to 13 in the second half, including 21 4th quarter points. Tua Tagovailoa was 21 of 40 for 418 yds, while throwing 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. Najee Harris rushed for 146 yds on 19 carries and a score for the Crimson Tide. Alabama was out gained offensively 559 to 541. Alabama forced and recovered 1 fumble on the day.
In the Bulldogs win over the Razorbacks, the offense was led by Kylin Hill. Hill had a phenomenal game, rushing for 234 yds and finding the end zone 3 times. The Bulldogs put up an easy 640 total yds, while only allowing Arkansas to gain 285. The bulldogs only had 1 turnover in the game. Mississippi State led 38-0 at the half.
Recent Betting Trends:
Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
The over is 4-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 road games.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
The over is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 games overall.
The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings when this matchup is being played at Mississippi State. Alabama has won the last 10 meetings. The average score between the two teams has been Alabama out scoring Mississippi State 30-9. The difference here is the Crimson Tide is coming off their first loss of the season and will be ready to prove to the committee that they are worthy to stay in the top 4. Final score prediction, Alabama will win and cover, 42-17.