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Mississippi State vs. Auburn - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Auburn Tigers (3-2) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2)
Date & Time Saturday October 8, 2016, 12:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
SEC Network
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CFB | Auburn Tigers (3-2) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-2)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Auburn Tigers face off on Saturday in Week 6 SEC college football action.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 2-2 this season and are coming off of a bye last week.  The Mississippi State offense is averaging 28.5 points and 433.8 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 3 times. Bulldogs QB Nick Fitzgerald has completed 60 percent of his passes with 5 touchdowns and 1 interception and he has rushed for 329 yards. Brandon Holloway is MSU’s top rusher with 191yards and a touchdown and Ashton Shumpert has 144 yards and a touchdown while Fred Ross is the top receiver with 25 catches and 4 touchdowns and Donald Gray has 18 receptions. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 23.2 points and 356.2 yards per game with 4 interceptions, 2 fumble recoveries, and 9 sacks. Richie Brown leads Mississippi State with 28 tackles, Leo Lewis has 25 tackles, and J.T. Gray has 25 tackles. Mississippi State is looking for their second SEC win this season.

The Auburn Tigers are 3-2 this season and they are playing their first road game of the season. The Auburn offense is averaging 31.2 points and 488.6 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 7 times. Tigers QB Sean White has completed 68.4 percent of his passes with5 touchdowns and a touchdown and he has rushed for another touchdown. Kerryon Johnson is Auburn’s leading rusher with 517 yards and 6 touchdowns and Tony Stevens is the top receiver with 21 catches and 3 touchdowns and Ryan Davis has 17 receptions. The Auburn defense is allowing 16.4 points and 358.4 yards per game with 2 interceptions, 3 fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. Johnathan Ford is Auburn’s leading tackler with 31, Tray Matthews has 29 tackles, and Tre’ Williams has 28 tackles.  Auburn has won their last 2 games.

Mississippi State is 4-0 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread, 18-4 against the spread at home against a team with a winning road record, and 16-6 against the spread in their last 22 SEC games. Auburn is 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 SEC games, 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games, and 0-4 against the spread following a win. The underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings of these two teams.

This is not one of the better Mississippi Stat teams and they have lost too much worse than this and I expect them to struggle here. Auburn is far from a contender but I see them having the better athletes and on that alone they win and cover. 

Auburn Tigers -2.5

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