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Mississippi State vs. LA Tech - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
LA Tech Bulldogs (6-2) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3)
Date & Time Saturday November 3, 2018, 7:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -20.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
SEC
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CFB | LA Tech Bulldogs (6-2) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3)
Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

Louisiana Tech and Mississippi State face off in a week 10 non-conference battle of the Bulldogs from Davis Wade Stadium in college football action on Saturday night.

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come into this one with a slight rest advantage after making it 3 wins in a row with a 21-13 win over FAU in their last outing this past Friday. J’Mar Smith has thrown for 1,938 yards, 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 56.8% passing while Jaqwis Dancy leads Louisiana Tech with 485 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns this season. Adrian Hardy leads the Bulldogs with 644 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Teddy Veal leads Louisiana Tech with 48 catches for 532 yards this year. As a team, Louisiana Tech is averaging 390.8 yards of total offense and 28 points per game this season.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to find some consistency after splitting their last six games, including a 28-13 win over Texas A&M in their last outing. Nick Fitzgerald has thrown for 1,009 yards, 6 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 49.1% passing while last leading Mississippi State in rushing with 732 yards and 9 touchdowns. Kylin Hill has 516 rushing yards for Mississippi State, while Osirus Mitchell leads the Bulldogs with 20 catches for 347 yards and 3 touchdowns. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 403.5 yards of total offense and 27.1 points per game this season. Mississippi State is also tight defensively, giving up the 6th-fewest total offensive yards per game (283.8 YPG) and the 5th-fewest points against (13.5 PPG) this season. 

Louisiana Tech is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the SEC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games while the over is 9-3 in their last 12 non-conference games. Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 16-5 in their last 21 games overall. 

Mississippi State did a good job shutting me up when I faded them against Texas A&M, but that doesn’t mean I’m ready to lay three touchdowns with Jake Bentley and co. Louisiana Tech has shown the ability to rack up points as well, scoring 29 or more points in 5 of their 8 games this season. All in all I think this is just a case of too many points and I’ll take them with Louisiana Tech here.

Pick:
Louisiana Tech +20.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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