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Navy vs. Houston - 10/20/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Cougars (5-1) at Navy Midshipmen (2-4)
Date & Time Saturday October 20, 2018, 3:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Navy Midshipmen +12.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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CFB | Houston Cougars (5-1) at Navy Midshipmen (2-4)
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Cougars and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.

The Houston Cougars look for their fourth road victory of the season to become bowl eligible for a sixth straight year. The Houston Cougars have won six of their last eight road games. D’Eriq King is completing 63 percent of his passes for 1,571 yards, 20 touchdowns and three interceptions. King has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Marquez Stevenson and Keith Corbin have combined for 866 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Courtney Lark has 23 receptions. The Houston Cougars ground game is averaging 246.8 yards per contest, and Patrick Carr leads the way with 362 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Houston is allowing 28 points and 475.5 yards per game. Austin Robinson leads the Houston Cougars with 54 tackles, Isaiah Chambers has 4.5 sacks and Garrett Davis has two interceptions. 

The Navy Midshipmen need a victory here in order to snap a three-game losing streak and rebound from a 2-4 record. The Navy Midshipmen have won seven of their last nine home games. Garret Lewis is completing 41.7 percent of his passes for 211 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. The Navy Midshipmen have two touchdown passes this season on 60 pass attempts. CJ Williams and Taylor Jackson have combined for 226 receiving yards on 12 receptions while Mychal Cooper has three receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 303.6 yards per contest, and Perry leads the way with 632 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 31.8 points and 394.7 yards per game. Hudson Sullivan leads the Navy Midshipmen with 42 tackles, Taylor Heflin has three sacks and Jarid Ryan has three interceptions.

The Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in October and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Midshipmen are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The over is 13-6 in Midshipmen last 19 home games and the under is 17-7 in Cougars last 24 games overall.

The Houston Cougars have produced blowouts in all five of their victories, but they have struggled to cover the number in these wins. The Navy Midshipmen are clearly going through a down year, but two of their four losses have been decided by one score. The Houston Cougars have split their last 12 games ATS when a double-digit favorite. The Navy Midshipmen are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games when a double-digit underdog. Despite these teams heading in different directions, it's never easy to play Navy on one weeks rest, and the Midshipmen are still a solid covering team at home. Heck, Navy had its chances to beat Temple last week as a touchdown underdog, and averaged 5.1 yards per carry. If Navy can get its ground game back to standards, there's no reason to think this game won't be close. Give me the points.

Navy Midshipmen +12.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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