UTSA Roadrunners (6-6) at New Mexico Lobos (7-4)
|Date & Time||Saturday December 17, 2016, 2:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: New Mexico Lobos -6.5 -- Over/Under: 64
The New Mexico Lobos and the UTSA Roadrunners butt heads college football’s New Mexico Bowl.
The New Mexico Lobos finished behind Boise State in the Mountain Division of the MWC with an 8-4 record. The Lobos and winning football are next to each other in the dictionary but we have to give this team credit for 6-2 conference record behind a high scoring offense. The UNM attack averaged almost 38 points and needed plenty of support with the defense allowin32 points on 397 yards with near average run and pass ‘D’. The Lobos were the best rushing team in the game at 361
yards and were fortunate to throw for over 100 yards so this was obviously a rushing squad. New Mexico quarterbacks Austin Apodaca and Lamar were both 600+ yard passers with Jordan running for 658 but whatever success the Lobos had was through the running of Teriyon Gipson (131-1209) and Tyrone Owens (134-1084) and a trio of receivers that combined for just over 700 yards.
The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners had dropped three in row before winning the final game of the regular season to finish 6-6 and get a Bowl invitation. The Roadrunners were all over the map at times with an offense that averaged just 376 yards and 30 points which is good considering the rushing and passing numbers were below average while allowing 28 points on 400 yards, again below average. UTSA quarterback Dalton Sturm wasn’t deadly accurate at 58% but he did throw for over 2,000 yards with 18 touchdowns and five interceptions with Josh Stewart and Kerry Thomas Jr. combining for 67 receptions and nearly 1,200 yards. UTSA were decent on the ground with Jarveon Williams and Jalen Rhodes combining for over 1,500 yards on 333 carries.
The over is 7-0 in New Mexico last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and the over is 6-0 New Mexico last 6 non-conference games while the over is 4-0 in New Mexico last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. UTSA are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and the under is 5-1 in UTSA last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while UTSA are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
I think New Mexico will find the endzone often and their defense gets enough stops for the cover…