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New Mexico State vs. San Diego State - 9/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico State Aggies
Date & Time Saturday September 14, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Las Cruces, NM
The Line
The Line: New Mexico State Aggies +16 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Aggie Vision
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James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego State Aztecs and New Mexico State Aggies meet Saturday in college football action at Aggie Memorial Stadium.

The San Diego State Aztecs look for their second road win to get off to a fast 3-0 start to the season. The San Diego State Aztecs have split their last six road games. Ryan Agnew is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 401 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Agnew has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last seven games. Kobe Smith and Jesse Matthews have combined for 223 receiving yards and one touchdown while Juwan Washington has seven receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 105 yards per contest, and Washington leads the way with 96 yards on 32 carries. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing seven points and 207.5 yards per game. Dwayne Johnson Jr. leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 19 tackles, Kyree Woods has one sack and Tariq Thompson has one interception.

The New Mexico State Aggies look for their first victory after losses to Washington State and Alabama. The New Mexico State Aggies have lost three of their last five home games. Josh Adkins is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 366 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Adkins has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Tony Nicholson and OJ Clark have combined for 157 receiving yards on 20 catches while Drew Dan has four receptions. The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 98.5 yards per contest, and Jason Huntley leads the way with 63 yards on 12 carries. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 60 points and 610.5 yards per game. Austin Perkins leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 15 tackles, Donovan King has one sack and Devin Richardson has two quarterback hurries.

The Aztecs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games, 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Aggies last 10 non-conference games. The under is 5-1 in Aztecs last 6 games overall.

The San Diego State Aztecs have failed to cover each of their last eight games as a double-digit favorite. SDSU hasn't covered a double-digit number since November of 2017. The New Mexico State Aggies have failed to cover seven of their last 11 games as a double-digit underdog. While New Mexico State is going to benefit greatly getting beat up by the big boys they schedule, the Aggies just aren't built to compete with them just yet. The San Diego State Aztecs should have a field day in the trenches and just bull their way with defense and a physical ground game. The San Diego State Aztecs finally cover a double-digit number. 

Pick:
San Diego State Aztecs -16

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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