New Mexico vs. Sam Houston State - 8/31/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico vs. Sam Houston State - 8/31/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Sam Houston State Bearkats at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, August 31, 2019 at 5:00 PM (Dreamstyle Stadium)

The Line: New Mexico -10 -- Over/Under: 62.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Sam Houston State Bearkats and New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in college football action at Dreamstyle Stadium.

The Sam Houston State Bearkats won six games last year, the first time they’ve had less than double-digit victories since 2013-14. The Sam Houston State Bearkats have lost three of their last five road games. Ty Brock is back at QB after 2,417 passing yards and 15 touchdowns, and he has his top-two playmakers with him in wide receiver Nathan Stewart and running back Kyran Jackson. If Brock can simply make better decisions with the football, Sam Houston State will be much better offensively this season. The Sam Houston State Bearkats have holes to fill defensively, but they return their top-two tacklers from last year in Hunter Brown and Royce See, who combined for 18 tackles for loss and six pass deflections. Erick Fowler is back after 14.5 tackles for loss and Zyon McCollum had three interceptions.

The New Mexico Lobos have won six games the last two years, and coach Bob Davie is back for another year. The New Mexico Lobos have lost each of their last five home games. New Mexico returns eight starters from an offense that averaged 26.6 points and 330 yards per game. New Mexico returns both of its quarterbacks from last year in Sheriron Jones and Tevaka Tuioti, a duo that combined for 18 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. If one of those guys could make better decisions with the ball, the Lobos could actually be rather decent offensively with all of the returning talent, especially WR Elijah Lilly, who averaged nearly 18 yards per catch. New Mexico returns two starters from a defense that allowed 36.2 points and 473 yards per game. There’s a lot of new faces on this New Mexico defense, but Nahje Flowers returns after 5.5 tackles for loss and linebacker Brandon Shook was solid in his first season with 40 tackles, two sacks and a pair of forced fumbles.

Wonder who the Top Experts Picked? Click Here To Find Out

The New Mexico Lobos will have to figure things out defensively on the fly, but they have enough returning talent offensively to be respectable out of the gate and this is a must-win game if they're going to make anything of this season. After this game, New Mexico plays four of its next six contests on the road, including a meeting next week against Notre Dame. Yes, it's a season opener against an FCS program, but things could get out of hand rather quickly if the Lobos don't take care of business. I expect a New Mexico double-digit victory. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick New Mexico -10

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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