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New Mexico vs. San Diego State - 11/3/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) at New Mexico Lobos (3-5)
Date & Time Saturday November 3, 2018, 10:15 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +11 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPNU
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CFB | San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) at New Mexico Lobos (3-5)
Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego State Aztecs and the New Mexico Lobos meet in week 10 Mountain West conference college football action from Dreamstyle Stadium on Saturday night.

The San Diego State Aztecs will look to bounce back after having their 6 game winning streak stopped with a 28-24 loss to Nevada in their last outing. Ryan Agnew has thrown for 1,159 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 51% passing while the tandem of Chase Jasmin and Juwan Washington have combined to rush for 1,058 yards and 9 touchdowns this season. Fred Trevillion leads SDSU’s receiving corps with 312 receiving yards, while Kahale Warring has a team-high 16 catches this season. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 349.4 yards of total offense and 21.1 points per game while also being stout against the run on defense, allowing the 2nd-fewest rushing yards per game in the country with 80.9 yards against per game this season. 

The New Mexico Lobos will look for a big win to snap a 3 game losing streak following a 61-19 beatdown at the hands of Utah State in their last outing. Sheriron Jones leads the Lobos with 1,197 yards passing, along with 13 touchdowns and 10 picks on 53.7% passing while Tyrone Owens leads the Lobos on the ground with 545 rushing yards and 6 TDs. Elijah Lilly leads New Mexico with 362 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Delane Hart-Johnson has a team-high 24 catches for 337 yards and 4 touchdowns this season. As a team, New Mexico is averaging 396 yards of total offense and 31.9 points per game this season. San Diego State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. New Mexico is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games overall. San Diego State is 4-15 ATS in the last 19 meetings between these two teams and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in New Mexico.

San Diego State hasn’t had much luck between these two sides, but the fact is that they’re the much better team here. New Mexico was doing a good job putting points on the board, but now the scoring has disappeared, and the Lobos have lost their last two games by a combined score of 99-26 against two of the best in the Mountain West in Fresno State and Utah State. I have the Aztecs around that group, so I’ll side with San Diego State to add to New Mexico’s misery with a huge road win.

Pick:
San Diego State -11

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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