Northwestern vs. Michigan State - 9/21/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Northwestern vs. Michigan State
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Ryan Field)
The Line: Northwestern +6.5 -- Over/Under:
The Michigan State Spartans and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.
The Michigan State Spartans look for a rebound performance when they take to the road for the first time. The Michigan State Spartans have won three of their last four road games. Brian Lewerke is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 797 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 482 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Matt Dotson has nine receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 157.3 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 281 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 11.3 points and 216 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 25 tackles, Kenny Willekes has four sacks and Antjuan Simmons has one interception.
The Northwestern Wildcats look for a statement win to get a game above a .500 record. The Northwestern Wildcats have won four of their last five home games. Hunter Johnson is completing 42.9 percent of his passes for 220 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Johnson has three touchdown passes on 69 career pass attempts. Bennett Skowronek and JJ Jefferson have combined for 179 receiving yards and one touchdown while Kyric McGowan has three receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 184.5 yards per contest, and Drake Anderson leads the way with 146 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 15.5 points and 347.5 yards per game. Chris Bergin leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 20 tackles, Earnest Brown IV has two sacks and Paddy Fisher has one interception.
The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games, 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Northwestern and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games overall. The under is 10-1 in Spartans last 11 games overall.
The Michigan State Spartans have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games as a favorite of at least three points. The Northwestern Wildcats are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of at least three points. The Northwestern Wildcats have won the last three meetings against Michigan State and four of the last five overall. MSU looks like the same team from the past couple of years, a great defense but an offense that struggles to move the football. Northwestern is extremely well coached and has a similar style where it can get stops and grind games out. This is going to be a slugfest and points will be hard to come by. Give me the free touchdown with the home team.